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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Mar 29, 2024 14:16:34 GMT -8
Relievers can pitch multiple days during the week. Just because we haven't been doing it so far, doesn't mean it can't happen. We won't run out of pitchers, especially if they pitch on Thursday. Thursday guys, other than May, can pitch on Monday. Friday guys can pitch on Tuesday. Yeah I know they can but we have 5 games in 6 days then a 2 day turn around to the next three. All hands on deck for sure. Oregon State has played this eight games in 11 days format around Easter, since at least 2005. In the past 20 seasons, Oregon State has only gone undefeated from Holy Thursday to Divine Mercy Sunday once, 2006. And Oregon State did not play any midweek games in 2006, sweeping Stanford at Goss and then sweeping Cal at Evans Diamond. Oregon State went 6-1 last year, but the first Gonzaga game was rained out. Oregon State went 7-1 in 2022, sweeping Long Beach State, splitting with Gonzaga, and then sweeping Washington. In 2022, AJ Lattery got hurt in the Sunday game against USC. Rather than messing with the pitching rotation, Oregon State started Jake Pfennigs on Holy Thursday. Pfennigs only threw 1.2 innings. Brock Townsend relieved him and pitched into the seventh. Ben Ferrer threw 2.1 innings, and Ryan Brown came in to save the game by retiring the final two batters. Cooper Hjerpe started and threw seven innings on Good Friday. Sebby Reid finished off the final two innings for the save. Jacob Kmatz started and threw five innings on Holy Saturday. Mitchell Verburg threw into the eighth. Victor Quinn retired two batters. Braden Boisvert finished the eighth. Justin Thorsteinson retired two of three hitters, giving up a double. And DJ Carpenter finished off the game for the win. Jaren Hunter started on Easter Monday and threw two innings, getting shelled. Ian Lawson relieved him and threw an inning. Jayson Hibbard came in and threw two innings. Thorsteinson came in on one day's rest and pitched two innings. David Case pitched the eighth, and David Grewe pitched the ninth. 13-6 Gonzaga. Brock Townsend started on Easter Tuesday on four days' rest and threw four innings. Verburg came in on two days' rest and threw an inning. Ferrer came in on four days' rest and threw two innings. Reid came in on three days' rest and threw an inning. Brown finished off the game on four days' rest. Hjerpe started with full rest and threw six innings on Easter Friday. Reid relieved him on two days' rest and threw an inning. Carpenter came in on five days' rest and threw 2.2 innings. Oregon State tied the game in the eighth and it stayed tied into the 10th. Brown came in on two days' rest and got the final batter. Garret Forrester brought in Travis Bazzana in the bottom of the 10th for a win. Kmatz started with full rest and threw 6.1 innings on Easter Saturday. Verburg came in on three days' rest and finished off the game in an 8-0 win. Pfennigs started on Divine Mercy Sunday on full rest and threw 1.2 innings. Ferrer cam in on four days' rest and threw 5.1 innings. Brown came in on one day's rest and pitched the final two innings to pick up a save. 17 pitchers over the 11 days.
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Post by messi on Mar 30, 2024 11:18:22 GMT -8
USC 2
Kmatz 4-21 Montgomery 2-4 Morrell 1-3 Hunter 1-14 Talavs 0-3 Total 8-45 17%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 23% Holmes 16% Hunter 17% Hutcheson 23% Keljo 21% Kmatz 20% Lattery 27% Lawson 29% May 14% Mejia 29% Montgomery 17% Morrell 24% Mundt 18% Oakes 28% Reynolds 57% Scott 44% Segura 10% Talavs 15%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 21% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Mar 30, 2024 14:08:31 GMT -8
Bad
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Apr 1, 2024 23:13:59 GMT -8
Not sure how useful comparing WHIP is to previous seasons. The game has changed substantially even since 2018 with more power hitting which tends to mean more pitching out of the zone. Pitching to contact has gotten significantly more dangerous and difficult. For instance this season the best WHIP in baseball was Texas A&M 1.00 and we are top 50 with 1.36 (which is a terrible WHIP traditionally). Maybe a better way would be % deviation off average or top 100 average for a season or something. Runs allowed after 19 games: 2005 54 2006 80 2007 61 2008 133 2009 83 2010 61 2011 52 2012 107 2013 43 2014 55 2015 69 2016 72 2017 28 2018 61 2019 61 2021 58 2022 74 2023 74 2024 84
You are trying to avoid the other team scoring. WHIP is a decent tool to measure how well you are doing it through pitching but a less helpful metric than pure runs.
Oregon State has allowed the third-most runs after 19 games in the past 20 seasons, which indicates that the WHIP numbers are not wrong painting an incorrect picture.
You can see that 2024 Oregon State is not that far off of 2006 Oregon State, but 2006 Oregon State started 12-7 with two series losses and one idiotic split plus a neutral loss to Gonzaga and a loss at Davis. The Beavs then went 27-7 to finish the regular season. Even with 14 losses, though, Oregon State did not get a National Seed, needing Stanford to upset Texas to host the 2006 Corvallis Super Regional.
The hitting is covering up bad pitching numbers, but the pitching has been pretty bad. Hopefully, May comes back. That takes an immense amount of pressure off of everyone.Runs allowed after 26 games: 2005 932006 1122007 71 2008 169 2009 1082010 912011 97 2012 132 2013 792014 792015 90 2016 102 2017 532018 982019 87 2021 74 2022 118 2023 992024 109
2024 Oregon State has allowed the fifth-most runs after 26 games in the past 20 seasons. 2006, 2008, 2012, and 2022 each allowed fewer runs over the next 26 games. 2006 was the only season that dramatically improved offensively, which is why that season ended the way that it did. 2008, 2012, and 2022 each saw a drop-off in offensive production of varying degrees, probably because of an increase in the strength of schedule, which meant that the next 26 games saw no net gain (2022) or saw the team regress as a whole (2008 and 2012).
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Apr 2, 2024 6:47:00 GMT -8
Need consistency. The pitching has been very uneven
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Post by beaver1989 on Apr 2, 2024 9:44:21 GMT -8
Runs allowed after 19 games: 2005 54 2006 80 2007 61 2008 133 2009 83 2010 61 2011 52 2012 107 2013 43 2014 55 2015 69 2016 72 2017 28 2018 61 2019 61 2021 58 2022 74 2023 74 2024 84
You are trying to avoid the other team scoring. WHIP is a decent tool to measure how well you are doing it through pitching but a less helpful metric than pure runs.
Oregon State has allowed the third-most runs after 19 games in the past 20 seasons, which indicates that the WHIP numbers are not wrong painting an incorrect picture.
You can see that 2024 Oregon State is not that far off of 2006 Oregon State, but 2006 Oregon State started 12-7 with two series losses and one idiotic split plus a neutral loss to Gonzaga and a loss at Davis. The Beavs then went 27-7 to finish the regular season. Even with 14 losses, though, Oregon State did not get a National Seed, needing Stanford to upset Texas to host the 2006 Corvallis Super Regional.
The hitting is covering up bad pitching numbers, but the pitching has been pretty bad. Hopefully, May comes back. That takes an immense amount of pressure off of everyone.Runs allowed after 26 games: 2005 932006 1122007 71 2008 169 2009 1082010 912011 97 2012 132 2013 792014 792015 90 2016 102 2017 532018 982019 87 2021 74 2022 118 2023 992024 109
2024 Oregon State has allowed the fifth-most runs after 26 games in the past 20 seasons. 2006, 2008, 2012, and 2022 each allowed fewer runs over the next 26 games. 2006 was the only season that dramatically improved offensively, which is why that season ended the way that it did. 2008, 2012, and 2022 each saw a drop-off in offensive production of varying degrees, probably because of an increase in the strength of schedule, which meant that the next 26 games saw no net gain (2022) or saw the team regress as a whole (2008 and 2012). 169 runs in 2008 really stands out. Ouch!
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Post by messi on Apr 2, 2024 11:14:08 GMT -8
Gonzaga 1
Segura 4-19 Hutcheson 0-8 Oakes 0-3 Mundt 1-3 Total 5-33 15%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 23% Holmes 16% Hunter 17% Hutcheson 20% Keljo 21% Kmatz 20% Lattery 27% Lawson 29% May 14% Mejia 29% Montgomery 17% Morrell 24% Mundt 19% Oakes 27% Reynolds 57% Scott 44% Segura 12% Talavs 15%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 20% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Apr 2, 2024 12:30:26 GMT -8
Starting to wonder about some of these dudes. Don't think Lawson or Rey olds have pitched since Utah.
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Post by rainmanrich on Apr 2, 2024 14:20:29 GMT -8
I think this my new favorite stat "line". Other than perhaps consecutive lead off home runs. Who woulda thunk that one up?
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Apr 2, 2024 16:29:49 GMT -8
Runs allowed after 26 games: 2005 932006 1122007 71 2008 169 2009 1082010 912011 97 2012 132 2013 792014 792015 90 2016 102 2017 532018 982019 87 2021 74 2022 118 2023 992024 109
2024 Oregon State has allowed the fifth-most runs after 26 games in the past 20 seasons. 2006, 2008, 2012, and 2022 each allowed fewer runs over the next 26 games. 2006 was the only season that dramatically improved offensively, which is why that season ended the way that it did. 2008, 2012, and 2022 each saw a drop-off in offensive production of varying degrees, probably because of an increase in the strength of schedule, which meant that the next 26 games saw no net gain (2022) or saw the team regress as a whole (2008 and 2012). 169 runs in 2008 really stands out. Ouch! Highest ERA since 2003. What is crazy is that 2008 Oregon State was the best hitting Beaver team between 2006 and 2018. (2007 was a ton of pitching with just enough hitting, which was about the same story in 2013, 2014, and 2017. In fact, 2017, 2007, and 2013 and 2014 Oregon State teams allowed the fewest, second-fewest, and tied for third-fewest runs over the first 26 games, respectively.) But just awful pitching doomed the 2008 season. To try and put that in perspective, Oregon State allowed 169 runs in the first 26 games of 2008, but Oregon State scored 200 runs and were sitting at 16-10 26 games in. Oregon State's pitching improved slightly in the second half of the season, "only" allowing 158 runs in the final 26 games. But the offense just disappeared in the second half of the season, only scoring 136 over the final 26 games. 12-14 over the final 26, to finish at 28-24. Worst Oregon State record since 2003.
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Post by messi on Apr 3, 2024 11:01:00 GMT -8
Gonzaga 2
Keljo 0-3 Palmer 0-3 Morrell 1-9 Ferguson 2-7 Scott 0-3 Hunter 1-9 Talavs 1-5 Total 5-39 12%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 24% Holmes 16% Hunter 17% Hutcheson 20% Keljo 20% Kmatz 20% Lattery 27% Lawson 29% May 14% Mejia 29% Montgomery 17% Morrell 21% Mundt 19% Oakes 27% Palmer 0% Reynolds 57% Scott 33% Segura 12% Talavs 16%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 20% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by messi on Apr 5, 2024 22:41:22 GMT -8
Arizona State 1
May 6-20 Keljo 4-9 Oakes 1-5 Holmes 2-12 Total 13-46 28%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 24% Holmes 16% Hunter 17% Hutcheson 20% Keljo 23% Kmatz 20% Lattery 27% Lawson 29% May 18% Mejia 29% Montgomery 17% Morrell 21% Mundt 19% Oakes 26% Palmer 0% Reynolds 57% Scott 33% Segura 12% Talavs 16%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 20% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by messi on Apr 6, 2024 22:14:28 GMT -8
Arizona State 2
Kmatz 4-29 Total 4-29 13%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 24% Holmes 16% Hunter 17% Hutcheson 20% Keljo 23% Kmatz 18% Lattery 27% Lawson 29% May 18% Mejia 29% Montgomery 17% Morrell 21% Mundt 19% Oakes 26% Palmer 0% Reynolds 57% Scott 33% Segura 12% Talavs 16%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 20% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by messi on Apr 7, 2024 21:24:19 GMT -8
Arizona State 3Segura 0-15 Palmer 2-6 Mundt 2-9 Hutcheson 3-6 Scott 1-5 Keljo 0-1 Holmes 1-2
Total 9-44 20%So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is Ferguson 24% Holmes 18% Hunter 17% Hutcheson 22% Keljo 23% Kmatz 18% Lattery 27% Lawson 29% May 18% Mejia 29% Montgomery 17% Morrell 21% Mundt 20% Oakes 26% Palmer 22% Reynolds 57% Scott 29% Segura 10% Talavs 16% As a team, the Beavs are encountering 20% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Apr 10, 2024 15:54:58 GMT -8
Runs allowed after 19 games: 2005 54 2006 80 2007 61 2008 133 2009 83 2010 61 2011 52 2012 107 2013 43 2014 55 2015 69 2016 72 2017 28 2018 61 2019 61 2021 58 2022 74 2023 74 2024 84
You are trying to avoid the other team scoring. WHIP is a decent tool to measure how well you are doing it through pitching but a less helpful metric than pure runs.
Oregon State has allowed the third-most runs after 19 games in the past 20 seasons, which indicates that the WHIP numbers are not wrong painting an incorrect picture.
You can see that 2024 Oregon State is not that far off of 2006 Oregon State, but 2006 Oregon State started 12-7 with two series losses and one idiotic split plus a neutral loss to Gonzaga and a loss at Davis. The Beavs then went 27-7 to finish the regular season. Even with 14 losses, though, Oregon State did not get a National Seed, needing Stanford to upset Texas to host the 2006 Corvallis Super Regional.
The hitting is covering up bad pitching numbers, but the pitching has been pretty bad. Hopefully, May comes back. That takes an immense amount of pressure off of everyone.Runs allowed after 26 games: 2005 932006 1122007 71 2008 169 2009 1082010 912011 97 2012 132 2013 792014 792015 90 2016 102 2017 532018 982019 87 2021 74 2022 118 2023 992024 109
2024 Oregon State has allowed the fifth-most runs after 26 games in the past 20 seasons. 2006, 2008, 2012, and 2022 each allowed fewer runs over the next 26 games. 2006 was the only season that dramatically improved offensively, which is why that season ended the way that it did. 2008, 2012, and 2022 each saw a drop-off in offensive production of varying degrees, probably because of an increase in the strength of schedule, which meant that the next 26 games saw no net gain (2022) or saw the team regress as a whole (2008 and 2012). Runs allowed after 31 games: 2005 1182006 1372007 1102008 2012009 1302010 1312011 1172012 1602013 952014 872015 1152016 1172017 672018 1342019 1042021 962022 1332023 1132024 1382024 Oregon State has allowed the third-most runs after 31 games in the past 20 seasons. 2006 and 2022 each allowed fewer runs over games 26-31 to pass 2024 Oregon State. 2006 Oregon State only allowed 111 runs over the next 31 games to set up the winner-take-all game with Rice. 2022 Oregon State, on the other hand, allowed 144 runs over the next 31 games to set up the winner-take-all game with Vandy.
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