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Post by nuclearbeaver on Feb 22, 2024 7:20:07 GMT -8
Seeing a lot of hot takes on the internet after yesterdays game that our pitching is bad and were giving up too many free bases. While overall this is true I think there is more to the story.
First off our ERA through 5 games is 2.0 so that means our overall defense has been pretty effective. Our WHIP is 1.56 which also quite good.
Walks: 30 total
HBP: 4 total
The Majority of our free bases come from Reynolds (7 BB), Kmatz (4 BB), Lattery (4BB), Hunter (2 BB, 2 HBP) Scott (2BB, 1 HBP) and Furguson (3 BB). Those guys make up 16.6 innings (37%).
Kmatz and Hunter are both coming back from surgery and Lattery has been pretty notorious for being a slow starter on seasons and in games. The other 3 are experiencing this level for the first time and are having some growing pains.
Those 6 guys make up 21 free bases which is 70% of all freebies. The other 12 pitchers have 9 free bases and 63% of the innings.
Imo our pitching is actually looking really good. If 2 of 3 of the struggling vets figure things out and 2 of 3 of the struggling new guys figure it out we are playing some very clean baseball. Myself, I am pleased with most of this staff and feeling bullish. How about you guys?
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Feb 22, 2024 7:38:01 GMT -8
It seems like we have endless arms! Im still getting to know a few of em.
I'm cautiously optimistic. I think Hunter, and Kmatz will continue to improve with more innings. We have a couple freshmen who looked outstanding in their first appearances. Great to have Mundt back. Keljo is a star in the making. Hutch, Oakes, Holmes, Scott.....I think our bullpen is actually shaping up nicely.
Obviously we want to limit free passes. But our opponents had a lot of LOB. That's pitching out of trouble, and/or the defense making timely plays. It's being competitive. These guys know what they have this season. I think there's a little swagger, and an expectation to win AB's.
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Post by messi on Feb 22, 2024 9:02:13 GMT -8
Looking at each pitcher's plate appearances, and how many became 3 ball counts
New Mexico
May: 4-22
Lattery: 3-8
Mejia: 3-8
Ferguson: 2-7
Total: 12-45 26%
Minnesota 1
Kmatz: 7-15
Reynolds: 3-9
Lawson: 4-8
Keljo: 2-8
Scott: 4-9
Total: 20-49 40%
CSU Bakersfield
Segura: 2-20
Holmes: 0-10
Mundt: 1-3
Total: 3-33 9%
Minnesota 2
Hunter: 6-19
Oakes: 4-5
Montgomery: 0-4
Talavs: 0-4
Hutcheson: 1-3
Total: 11-35 31%
Texas Tech
Lattery: 2-10
Reynolds: 5-8
Lawson: 2-13
Morrell: 1-7
Ferguson: 2-6
Total: 12-44 27%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 30%
Holmes 0%
Hunter 31%
Hutcheson 33%
Keljo 25%
Kmatz 46%
Lattery 27%
Lawson 28%
May 18%
Mejia 37%
Montgomery 0%
Morrell 14%
Mundt 33%
Oakes 80%
Reynolds 47%
Scott 44%
Segura 10%
Talavs 0%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 28% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by irimi on Feb 22, 2024 9:21:29 GMT -8
More than hitting, I feel pitching is hard to judge this early. And Dorman likes to use relievers for only a couple of innings, so it’s hard to get a good feel for each one. He’s using a lot of arms, which is cool. I think we’ll be fine, but I don’t know if we have a truly dominant pitcher like we’ve had in the past.
Walks always suck, but some walks are worse than others. Walking a batter to load the bases for example.
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Feb 22, 2024 9:35:32 GMT -8
Looking at each pitcher's plate appearances, and how many became 3 ball counts New MexicoMay: 4-22 Lattery: 3-8 Mejia: 3-8 Ferguson: 2-7 Total: 12-45 26% Minnesota 1Kmatz: 7-15 Reynolds: 3-9 Lawson: 4-8 Keljo: 2-8 Scott: 4-9 Total: 20-49 40% CSU BakersfieldSegura: 2-20 Holmes: 0-10 Mundt: 1-3 Total: 3-33 9%Minnesota 2Hunter: 6-19 Oakes: 4-5 Montgomery: 0-4 Talavs: 0-4 Hutcheson: 1-3 Total: 11-35 31%Texas TechLattery: 2-10 Reynolds: 5-8 Lawson: 2-13 Morrell: 1-7 Ferguson: 2-6 Total: 12-44 27% So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is Ferguson 30% Holmes 0% Hunter 31% Hutcheson 33% Keljo 25% Kmatz 46% Lattery 27% Lawson 28% May 18% Mejia 37% Montgomery 0% Morrell 14% Mundt 33% Oakes 80% Reynolds 47% Scott 44% Segura 10% Talavs 0% As a team, the Beavs are encountering 28% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count Nice work Messi! Was there an easy way to get that or are you just a legend? |
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Post by jayvinson on Feb 22, 2024 10:31:24 GMT -8
We need to keep in mind that this was game #5, preceding a 3-game weekend. In a situation like that you are not going to see many top pitchers used, when you have to save them for the weekend. Many top teams lose mid-week games to lessor opponents. TT was not a weak opponent, and we still won (using mostly second level pitchers).
I thought Lattery had a good outing.
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Post by beaver55to7 on Feb 22, 2024 10:33:40 GMT -8
Seeing a lot of hot takes on the internet after yesterdays game that our pitching is bad and were giving up too many free bases. While overall this is true I think there is more to the story. First off our ERA through 5 games is 2.0 so that means our overall defense has been pretty effective. Our WHIP is 1.56 which also quite good. Walks: 30 total HBP: 4 total The Majority of our free bases come from Reynolds (7 BB), Kmatz (4 BB), Lattery (4BB), Hunter (2 BB, 2 HBP) Scott (2BB, 1 HBP) and Furguson (3 BB). Those guys make up 16.6 innings (37%). Kmatz and Hunter are both coming back from surgery and Lattery has been pretty notorious for being a slow starter on seasons and in games. The other 3 are experiencing this level for the first time and are having some growing pains. Those 6 guys make up 21 free bases which is 70% of all freebies. The other 12 pitchers have 9 free bases and 63% of the innings. Imo our pitching is actually looking really good. If 2 of 3 of the struggling vets figure things out and 2 of 3 of the struggling new guys figure it out we are playing some very clean baseball. Myself, I am pleased with most of this staff and feeling bullish. How about you guys? Meh, if the pitcher doesn't know where the ball is going, the hitter sure as heck doesn't. Seems to be working. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Feb 22, 2024 14:54:34 GMT -8
Seeing a lot of hot takes on the internet after yesterdays game that our pitching is bad and were giving up too many free bases. While overall this is true I think there is more to the story. First off our ERA through 5 games is 2.0 so that means our overall defense has been pretty effective. Our WHIP is 1.56 which also quite good. Walks: 30 total HBP: 4 total The Majority of our free bases come from Reynolds (7 BB), Kmatz (4 BB), Lattery (4BB), Hunter (2 BB, 2 HBP) Scott (2BB, 1 HBP) and Furguson (3 BB). Those guys make up 16.6 innings (37%). Kmatz and Hunter are both coming back from surgery and Lattery has been pretty notorious for being a slow starter on seasons and in games. The other 3 are experiencing this level for the first time and are having some growing pains. Those 6 guys make up 21 free bases which is 70% of all freebies. The other 12 pitchers have 9 free bases and 63% of the innings. Imo our pitching is actually looking really good. If 2 of 3 of the struggling vets figure things out and 2 of 3 of the struggling new guys figure it out we are playing some very clean baseball. Myself, I am pleased with most of this staff and feeling bullish. How about you guys? Meh, if the pitcher doesn't know where the ball is going, the hitter sure as heck doesn't. Seems to be working. Hahahhaha!!! Best take ever! |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Feb 22, 2024 15:18:14 GMT -8
Seeing a lot of hot takes on the internet after yesterdays game that our pitching is bad and were giving up too many free bases. While overall this is true I think there is more to the story. First off our ERA through 5 games is 2.0 so that means our overall defense has been pretty effective. Our WHIP is 1.56 which also quite good. Walks: 30 total HBP: 4 total The Majority of our free bases come from Reynolds (7 BB), Kmatz (4 BB), Lattery (4BB), Hunter (2 BB, 2 HBP) Scott (2BB, 1 HBP) and Furguson (3 BB). Those guys make up 16.6 innings (37%). Kmatz and Hunter are both coming back from surgery and Lattery has been pretty notorious for being a slow starter on seasons and in games. The other 3 are experiencing this level for the first time and are having some growing pains. Those 6 guys make up 21 free bases which is 70% of all freebies. The other 12 pitchers have 9 free bases and 63% of the innings. Imo our pitching is actually looking really good. If 2 of 3 of the struggling vets figure things out and 2 of 3 of the struggling new guys figure it out we are playing some very clean baseball. Myself, I am pleased with most of this staff and feeling bullish. How about you guys? 1.56 is an awful WHIP for this early in the season! That is the highest WHIP after five games since 2016, a 4-1 start with the only loss being a 12-9 loss to Utah Valley in Surprise. The fact that we missed the Tourney in 2016 does not bode extremely well. The time before that that we had a WHIP that high? 2008. 2-3 start with losses to Vandy, Arizona State, and Georgia. Missed the Tourney again. The time before that? 2002. 2-3 with losses to Arizona State and two to San Diego. You have a great analysis about why the walks are up. But I did want to try and challenge that the WHIP number is "good" much less "quite good." A 1.56 WHIP this early in the season is very bad. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Feb 22, 2024 15:23:56 GMT -8
Seeing a lot of hot takes on the internet after yesterdays game that our pitching is bad and were giving up too many free bases. While overall this is true I think there is more to the story. First off our ERA through 5 games is 2.0 so that means our overall defense has been pretty effective. Our WHIP is 1.56 which also quite good. Walks: 30 total HBP: 4 total The Majority of our free bases come from Reynolds (7 BB), Kmatz (4 BB), Lattery (4BB), Hunter (2 BB, 2 HBP) Scott (2BB, 1 HBP) and Furguson (3 BB). Those guys make up 16.6 innings (37%). Kmatz and Hunter are both coming back from surgery and Lattery has been pretty notorious for being a slow starter on seasons and in games. The other 3 are experiencing this level for the first time and are having some growing pains. Those 6 guys make up 21 free bases which is 70% of all freebies. The other 12 pitchers have 9 free bases and 63% of the innings. Imo our pitching is actually looking really good. If 2 of 3 of the struggling vets figure things out and 2 of 3 of the struggling new guys figure it out we are playing some very clean baseball. Myself, I am pleased with most of this staff and feeling bullish. How about you guys? 1.56 is an awful WHIP for this early in the season! That is the highest WHIP after five games since 2016, a 4-1 start with the only loss being a 12-9 loss to Utah Valley in Surprise. The fact that we missed the Tourney in 2016 does not bode extremely well. The time before that that we had a WHIP that high? 2008. 2-3 start with losses to Vandy, Arizona State, and Georgia. Missed the Tourney again. The time before that? 2002. 2-3 with losses to Arizona State and two to San Diego. You have a great analysis about why the walks are up. But I did want to try and challenge that the WHIP number is "good" much less "quite good." A 1.56 WHIP this early in the season is very bad. Yeah you are def right. I got myself a bit confused as usual. I figured out the WHIP without those 6 which was around 1.25 and thought "that's decent" then wandered off and finished the post later with the full team WHIP. Thanks for the check Wilky. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Feb 22, 2024 15:30:44 GMT -8
1.56 is an awful WHIP for this early in the season! That is the highest WHIP after five games since 2016, a 4-1 start with the only loss being a 12-9 loss to Utah Valley in Surprise. The fact that we missed the Tourney in 2016 does not bode extremely well. The time before that that we had a WHIP that high? 2008. 2-3 start with losses to Vandy, Arizona State, and Georgia. Missed the Tourney again. The time before that? 2002. 2-3 with losses to Arizona State and two to San Diego. You have a great analysis about why the walks are up. But I did want to try and challenge that the WHIP number is "good" much less "quite good." A 1.56 WHIP this early in the season is very bad. Yeah you are def right. I got myself a bit confused as usual. I figured out the WHIP without those 6 which was around 1.25 and thought "that's decent" then wandered off and finished the post later with the full team WHIP. Thanks for the check Wilky. Yeah, 1.25 is a decent WHIP. I have fewer concerns. Like I said, though. Great analysis! I love reading deep dives past the initial numbers. Makes for a great read. messi came up with some awesome stuff later, as well. |
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Post by beaver55to7 on Feb 22, 2024 18:16:39 GMT -8
Meh, if the pitcher doesn't know where the ball is going, the hitter sure as heck doesn't. Seems to be working. Hahahhaha!!! Best take ever! Well, I wish I could take credit for inventing the idea of ‘effectively wild’, but it has been around for a long long time. I think you can even do a statistical analysis to determine if a pitcher is ‘effectively wild’, probably sabermetrics on it. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Feb 22, 2024 19:48:30 GMT -8
Hahahhaha!!! Best take ever! Well, I wish I could take credit for inventing the idea of ‘effectively wild’, but it has been around for a long long time. I think you can even do a statistical analysis to determine if a pitcher is ‘effectively wild’, probably sabermetrics on it. Weird to think there's a spectrum of greatness for wild pitching. I guess thats more or less a great knuckle ball guy too. Of course on the other end of the spectrum there's the guy getting 4 HBP a game. |
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Post by messi on Feb 24, 2024 12:55:08 GMT -8
Arkansas May 3-19 Keljo 2-9 Hutcheson 0-4 Holmes 1-4 Total 6-36 16%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 30%
Holmes 7%
Hunter 31%
Hutcheson 14%
Keljo 23%
Kmatz 46%
Lattery 27%
Lawson 28%
May 16%
Mejia 37%
Montgomery 0%
Morrell 14%
Mundt 33%
Oakes 80%
Reynolds 47%
Scott 44%
Segura 10%
Talavs 0%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 26% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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Post by messi on Feb 24, 2024 16:37:08 GMT -8
Michigan Kmatz 2-18 Mejia 1-6 Total 3-24 12%
So far this season, the percentages of plate appearances that have 3 ball counts for every pitcher thus far is
Ferguson 30%
Holmes 0%
Hunter 31%
Hutcheson 33%
Keljo 25%
Kmatz 27%
Lattery 27%
Lawson 28%
May 18%
Mejia 28%
Montgomery 0%
Morrell 14%
Mundt 33%
Oakes 80%
Reynolds 47%
Scott 44%
Segura 10%
Talavs 0%
As a team, the Beavs are encountering 25% of plate appearances going to a 3 ball count
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