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Post by thewizard on Sept 29, 2022 8:24:51 GMT -8
PAC-12 Championship and at least a SR, potentially a CWS berth.
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beaverphd
Freshman
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Post by beaverphd on Sept 29, 2022 12:29:21 GMT -8
Without having seen the 2023 roster yet here is what I expect: 1B: Forrester (Krieg), 2B Trosky (Kennel), SS Dernedde, 3B Guerra (Macias), OF Bazzana, OF Turley, OF Reed, or McDowell, or Kasper, DH Wheeler, C Smith (Webber) SP Kmatz, Ferrer, Brown, Hunter, Lattery RP Townsend, Boisvert, Quinn, Grewe, Mundt, Lawson, Thor, Sellers, Keljo
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beaverphd
Freshman
Posts: 80
Member is Online
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Post by beaverphd on Sept 29, 2022 12:33:53 GMT -8
Without having seen the 2023 roster yet here is what I expect: 1B: Forrester (Krieg), 2B Trosky (Kennel), SS Dernedde, 3B Guerra (Macias), OF Bazzana, OF Turley, OF Reed, or McDowell, or Kasper, DH Wheeler, C Smith (Webber) SP Kmatz, Ferrer, Brown, Hunter, Lattery RP Townsend, Boisvert, Quinn, Grewe, Mundt, Lawson, Thor, Sellers, Keljo Having typed that out we're going to need some growth from a lot of the guys to be as good as last year, because on paper we have a lot more unknowns and less experience. |
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Post by qbeaver on Sept 29, 2022 13:01:14 GMT -8
A team that gets better as the year goes on with a legit shot of Omaha come May.
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Sept 30, 2022 7:37:52 GMT -8
Without having seen the 2023 roster yet here is what I expect: 1B: Forrester (Krieg), 2B Trosky (Kennel), SS Dernedde, 3B Guerra (Macias), OF Bazzana, OF Turley, OF Reed, or McDowell, or Kasper, DH Wheeler, C Smith (Webber) SP Kmatz, Ferrer, Brown, Hunter, Lattery RP Townsend, Boisvert, Quinn, Grewe, Mundt, Lawson, Thor, Sellers, Keljo Having typed that out we're going to need some growth from a lot of the guys to be as good as last year, because on paper we have a lot more unknowns and less experience. So much potential though. That outfield could be pretty badass, especially if McD comes in hitting like he did over the summer. Turley is gonna be a beast. Bazzana is a crazy, possessed Aussie. Reed has the pedigree. Big Country may end up the best 1st baseman in the nation. Smith is a budding super star, and maybe the next great catcher at OSU. Guerra is a physical presence who showed flashes at the plate. Trosky is just a scrappy ass ball player. If Dernedde can get more consistent at the plate look out! He's a baller at SS. It's going to be a fun team.....plenty of talent. |
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Post by tamatrix on Mar 7, 2023 22:08:30 GMT -8
I'm excited about Quinn this year and honestly believe McDowell will break out. Hoping Reed can be healthy and give it a go Wish Quinn could find his stuff! But always had faith in McDowell (not sure why, but did) Tyree Reed 2024!  |
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Post by easyheat on Mar 7, 2023 22:50:03 GMT -8
A serious question: Is there a better lead off man out there than MM right now?
VQ has electric stuff. A 98 mph heater and a breaking ball with a + + grade. His issue is throwing that gas and spin in the strike zone. If VQ could locate that electric stuff, there would be no question about who OSU's Friday night guy would be.
To his credit, he has improved since HS but he has never become very familiar with home plate.
Baseball lore: "Satchel Page warmed up by throwing it over a gum wrapper. VQ warms up by throwing it over the backstop"
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 6:22:57 GMT -8
A serious question: Is there a better lead off man out there than MM right now? VQ has electric stuff. A 98 mph heater and a breaking ball with a + + grade. His issue is throwing that gas and spin in the strike zone. If VQ could locate that electric stuff, there would be no question about who OSU's Friday night guy would be. To his credit, he has improved since HS but he has never become very familiar with home plate. Baseball lore: "Satchel Page warmed up by throwing it over a gum wrapper. VQ warms up by throwing it over the backstop" Tight now? No. He gets on base and has speed and instincts to put pressure on the defense. Hard to argue with high OBP and great bas running when looking for a leadoff. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Mar 8, 2023 7:31:26 GMT -8
MM has had an incredible pre-conference run so far. He's that dude who when he just puts it in play, good things happen. I Expect him to come back down to earth a bit in conference, but I'm hoping he can maintain. He's also a very good defensive outfielder. He plays really fast.
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Post by badwack on Mar 8, 2023 7:38:38 GMT -8
This weekend will give us a good idea how the year will go. WSU looks to have solid pitching and they have been hitting well. Do we have the pitching to hold them in check? Sure would like to see Keljo develop real fast.
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Post by qbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 10:35:05 GMT -8
WSU is like 10-1 with a veteran team. What concerns me with this team is two areas...Friday night starter in Sellers. Throws too many pitches. Shortstop...Dernette has been a poor hitter minus the post season last year. Maybe I'm comparing him also to all the very good shortstops we have had in the last 20 years or so...Barney,Morrison,Grenier and several others.
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Mar 8, 2023 11:00:13 GMT -8
Sellers threw 80 pitches vs. UNM, 92 vs. Coppin State and 96 vs. Cal Poly. He needs to throw more strikes, and perhaps pitch to contact more, to last past the fifth inning.
But his pitch count is perfectly acceptable.
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Post by chinmusic on Mar 8, 2023 16:56:01 GMT -8
Good grief Charlie Brown!
Pitch counts are an arbitrary number established by the coaches for each pitcher on the staff. They are guidelines. Some pitchers are gassed at 75 pitches while other guys like Tim Lincecum (UW-SF Giants)are still throwing bullets at 150 pitches. PC's are about fatigue - the legs go, pitchers tire and the ball begins getting up and two things can result (both are bad). - getting shelled and injury.
What is important is the relationship between number of pitches thrown and the number of outs recorded (use innings pitched if you prefer). For example, Sellers has thrown 268 pitches to date in 3 starts while recording 34 outs, or 7.88 pitches per out. To put that in perspective, Sellers would need to throw 213 pitches in a complete game - recording 27 outs.
That is "pitch heavy" and will require a modified approach for PAC-12 play. Starting pitchers in college ball should be capable of giving the team 5 solid innings and 6 or 7 if everything is falling right. Especially true with your Friday night ace.
Trent Sellers is a really good pitcher, we were fortunate to get him. He will make the adjustments he needs to make with his approach to the strike zone. He's a "K" machine - His stuff is filthy. He has struck out 26 batters in 11.1 innings - maybe he's being too careful about staying on the corners?
As Henry noted, he needs to throw more strikes. His strike percentage is 58% (that's low).
I'll see if I can break his numbers down in a little more detail and put something up.
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Mar 8, 2023 17:25:53 GMT -8
Lincecum was also essentially finished as an effective pitcher at 28 years of age. He had 3-4 good seasons in MLB, then had a dead arm and his ERA skyrocketed to the high 4s. Hard not to think his heavy workload at UW and with the Giants didn't contribute somewhat to his early demise.
BTW, his wife died of cancer last summer at a young age. I did not know that.
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 17:39:13 GMT -8
Good grief Charlie Brown! Pitch counts are an arbitrary number established by the coaches for each pitcher on the staff. They are guidelines. Some pitchers are gassed at 75 pitches while other guys like Tim Lincecum (UW-SF Giants)are still throwing bullets at 150 pitches. PC's are about fatigue - the legs go, pitchers tire and the ball begins getting up and two things can result (both are bad). - getting shelled and injury. What is important is the relationship between number of pitches thrown and the number of outs recorded (use innings pitched if you prefer). For example, Sellers has thrown 268 pitches to date in 3 starts while recording 34 outs, or 7.88 pitches per out. To put that in perspective, Sellers would need to throw 213 pitches in a complete game - recording 27 outs. That is "pitch heavy" and will require a modified approach for PAC-12 play. Starting pitchers in college ball should be capable of giving the team 5 solid innings and 6 or 7 if everything is falling right. Especially true with your Friday night ace. Trent Sellers is a really good pitcher, we were fortunate to get him. He will make the adjustments he needs to make with his approach to the strike zone. He's a "K" machine - His stuff is filthy. He has struck out 26 batters in 11.1 innings - maybe he's being too careful about staying on the corners? As Henry noted, he needs to throw more strikes. His strike percentage is 58% (that's low). I'll see if I can break his numbers down in a little more detail and put something up. Thanks Chin. What kind of strike percentage should a strike out thrower like Sellers shoot for? Hes our least efficient starter so far at 8 pitches per our (Kmatz is 5.3, Hunter 4.0). That's what makes me nervous about Sellers, he's giving batters alot of looks and chances to cause damage per out. If he can keep people guessing for 150 pitches it's alright but otherwise he might get shelled or we end up digging deep in the bullpen early. Ive been thinking that if he can't get deeper into games we should start backing him with Ferrer or Lattery since they can both go deep in a game and have the talent to keep up with Friday pitchers. |
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