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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 27, 2024 16:32:19 GMT -8
I like keeping the rotation in order because if we advance out of our regional, it gives us the best chance at putting our opponent in the super regional & Omaha a loss in game 1. Who did LSU coach Jay Johnson pitch against Tulane last year in the Baton Rouge regional? Answer: Paul Skenes pitched game 1 and many LSU fans were livid. It eventually worked out for Johnson & LSU with a national championship last year. Also if we didn't throw Hjerpe against Mejia of New Mexico St in 2022, do we advance to a Super Regional? A lot went into the 2022 decision. Consideration #1 New Mexico State tilted left. Starting Hjerpe against New Mexico State made a lot more sense than starting Hjerpe against San Diego or Vandy. Consideration #2 Hjerpe had a much more rubbery arm than Jake Pfennigs. Hjerpe could throw and then come back and throw 40 pitches on two days' rest. And with Pfennigs being a righty, it would be wholly unnecessary for Pfennigs to rush back to pitch on Monday. Consideration #3 The second-best pitcher in the 2022 Corvallis Regional was San Diego's Brycen Mautz (#59 in MLB Draft in 2022). Mautz threw against Vandy, meaning that Pfennigs would outclass whomever San Diego threw (ultimately Ryan Kysar). Because of the above three considerations, the only rational decision was to start Hjerpe. Consideration #1 does not really make a difference this year, as both May and Kmatz are righties. I am not sure who Consideration #2 favors. As far as I can tell, neither has started and then thrown again on two days' rest in college. Does Irvine have a quality starter? As far as I can tell, Nicholls and Tulane do not. If Irvine saves a starter, I would definitely save May (or whoever the coaching staff thinks will do better against Irvine) for Irvine. How about this for a statistic: Most runs scored per game among all regional teams: 1. Wofford
2. Virginia
3. Northern Kentucky
4. Georgia
5. Tennessee
6. Irvine
6. North Carolina
8. Coastal Carolina
8. Florida State
10. Texas A&M
11. Oregon State
Tulane's power numbers are adorable, but Irvine's offense is an elite offense. I had Irvine as the 24th-best team in the country, among the top half of two-seeds that Oregon State did not want to play. Everything possible should be done to beat Irvine. If that is to save May, save May. If that is save Kmatz, save Kmatz. Whoever gives the Beavs a better chance to beat the Zots in Game Two is who throws against the Zots. As far as Skenes last year, I think that both LSU and Oregon State knew that there would be weather after the Friday games. Saturday got washed out. And the game on Sunday was suspended after 2.5 innings, squandering both Sunday starters. You throw your best pitcher on Friday in that situation. It still took a 6-3 sixth-inning collapse for LSU to sneak by Oregon State and into the Baton Rouge Regional Championship Game. |
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ftd
Sophomore
"I think real leaders show up when times are hard." Trent Bray 11/29/2023
Posts: 2,497
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Post by ftd on May 27, 2024 16:35:42 GMT -8
In Mitch I trust. He has forgotten more about baseball and strategy than I will ever know
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Post by tamatrix on May 27, 2024 20:24:10 GMT -8
I would go May, Kmatz, Lattery in the first 3 games....
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Post by beaverinsider211 on May 27, 2024 20:36:40 GMT -8
I would go May, Kmatz, Lattery in the first 3 games.... I wonder how much they can extend Latterly this week. Not against using him as an opener for however long he can go. I also like having him as a bullet out of the bullpen. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 27, 2024 20:51:38 GMT -8
I would go May, Kmatz, Lattery in the first 3 games.... I wonder how much they can extend Latterly this week. Not against using him as an opener for however long he can go. I also like having him as a bullet out of the bullpen. I would not mind seeing Lattery in the third or fourth game after a 2-0 start. Probably do not see Lattery until Monday otherwise |
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Post by beaver1989 on May 28, 2024 1:24:31 GMT -8
As long as the "one-two punch" is May & Kmatz or Kmatz & May.
"I'm Cool."😀
I trust Mitch & the team to do what's necessary to advance out of the Corvallis Regional.
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Post by irimi on May 28, 2024 7:16:37 GMT -8
Setting the rotation is pretty easy this year I think. There’s not a lot of drop off especially between May and Kmatz. It will be much more challenging to figure out relief.
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Post by jrbeavo on May 28, 2024 7:21:07 GMT -8
Setting the rotation is pretty easy this year I think. There’s not a lot of drop off especially between May and Kmatz. It will be much more challenging to figure out relief. I think may is the better pitcher and is more capable of keeping UCI off balance (they are very productive at the plate). Kmatz is a very solid second guy which would lessen the risk of starting him in game one. We are not going to be the only ones looking for pitching depth, and 2-0 will make us virtually unbeatable. |
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Post by irimi on May 28, 2024 7:36:07 GMT -8
Setting the rotation is pretty easy this year I think. There’s not a lot of drop off especially between May and Kmatz. It will be much more challenging to figure out relief. I think may is the better pitcher and is more capable of keeping UCI off balance (they are very productive at the plate). Kmatz is a very solid second guy which would lessen the risk of starting him in game one.  We are not going to be the only ones looking for pitching depth, and 2-0 will make us virtually unbeatable.  That’s fine. But I’ve seen even our best pitchers struggle in the post season, so relief will be important for when they do. |
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Post by osubeaver2018 on May 28, 2024 9:28:41 GMT -8
I think may is the better pitcher and is more capable of keeping UCI off balance (they are very productive at the plate). Kmatz is a very solid second guy which would lessen the risk of starting him in game one. We are not going to be the only ones looking for pitching depth, and 2-0 will make us virtually unbeatable. That’s fine. But I’ve seen even our best pitchers struggle in the post season, so relief will be important for when they do. The return of Lattery gives us an extra reliable arm we didn't have much of the season. I would say if you're planning on him being the game 4 (or god forbid game 5) starter, then he can throw on Friday if needed. Keljo finally finding his groove the last month or so of the season is big as well. I think our bullpen will be in better shape than most teams, although I still worry about it if we get into a loser's bracket scenario. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on May 28, 2024 10:43:53 GMT -8
That’s fine. But I’ve seen even our best pitchers struggle in the post season, so relief will be important for when they do. The return of Lattery gives us an extra reliable arm we didn't have much of the season. I would say if you're planning on him being the game 4 (or god forbid game 5) starter, then he can throw on Friday if needed. Keljo finally finding his groove the last month or so of the season is big as well. I think our bullpen will be in better shape than most teams, although I still worry about it if we get into a loser's bracket scenario. Always interesting how a season goes. Overall, pitching is on the uptick for sure. Less errors as of late. Those two things could really be the key to this team making a run. |
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Post by NativeBeav on May 28, 2024 11:11:18 GMT -8
The return of Lattery gives us an extra reliable arm we didn't have much of the season. I would say if you're planning on him being the game 4 (or god forbid game 5) starter, then he can throw on Friday if needed. Keljo finally finding his groove the last month or so of the season is big as well. I think our bullpen will be in better shape than most teams, although I still worry about it if we get into a loser's bracket scenario. Always interesting how a season goes. Overall, pitching is on the uptick for sure. Less errors as of late. Those two things could really be the key to this team making a run. I have always thought that although we as fans (myself included) put way too much emphasis on stats during the regular season, it is the post season that really counts. Now is when the real season begins - making a run now is what really matters! |
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Post by osubeaver2018 on May 28, 2024 12:00:37 GMT -8
The return of Lattery gives us an extra reliable arm we didn't have much of the season. I would say if you're planning on him being the game 4 (or god forbid game 5) starter, then he can throw on Friday if needed. Keljo finally finding his groove the last month or so of the season is big as well. I think our bullpen will be in better shape than most teams, although I still worry about it if we get into a loser's bracket scenario. Always interesting how a season goes. Overall, pitching is on the uptick for sure. Less errors as of late. Those two things could really be the key to this team making a run. Plus Baz doesn't have a HR in what? 6 or 7 games? He's due for an offensive explosion all on his own, which in turn could get everyone going. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on May 28, 2024 12:28:10 GMT -8
Always interesting how a season goes. Overall, pitching is on the uptick for sure. Less errors as of late. Those two things could really be the key to this team making a run. Plus Baz doesn't have a HR in what? 6 or 7 games? He's due for an offensive explosion all on his own, which in turn could get everyone going. Yea, be nice to have some offensive explosion from our lineup. Baz is the straw that stirs the drink. Luckily, we are in the friendly confines of Goss. Also, all three teams in our regional are from "lesser" conferences. Also, it looks like we could potentially avoid Nichols, and Irvine's aces.....Our lineup should feast.....but it's baseball, so who knows. I'm sure all the junk throwers for each team will be lined up to throw against us. |
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Post by Bodhisattva on May 28, 2024 13:48:11 GMT -8
I would throw Kmatz in game 1. May typically goes long and saves the bullpen. If Kmatz goes first and only goes 5 innings and relies on bullpen to finish, and May goes 7-8 on Saturday, then you can rest the bullpen and potentially use the Friday night bullpen guys on Sunday when they will surely be needed.
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