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Post by beavaristotle on Mar 8, 2023 10:25:34 GMT -8
Over
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Post by qbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 10:31:26 GMT -8
Under
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 11:00:20 GMT -8
He's on pace for 25+. If he's under he's gonna get walked alot.
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Post by Judge Smails on Mar 8, 2023 11:03:47 GMT -8
He's on pace for 25+. If he's under he's gonna get walked alot. He's also going to face much better pitching than he has seen so far. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 11:10:43 GMT -8
He's on pace for 25+. If he's under he's gonna get walked alot. He's also going to face much better pitching than he has seen so far. For sure but they still have to throw in the zone to get strikes. When he hits it's going to be with velocity. Obviously he could start chasing and just strike out swinging like crazy, seen it before. My bet is lots of walks. |
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Post by Judge Smails on Mar 8, 2023 11:15:05 GMT -8
He's also going to face much better pitching than he has seen so far. For sure but they still have to throw in the zone to get strikes. When he hits it's going to be with velocity. Obviously he could start chasing and just strike out swinging like crazy, seen it before. My bet is lots of walks. That's not necessarily true. You're assuming is going to square up every strike. Better velocity and better movement can lead to weaker contact. |
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Post by beaverstever on Mar 8, 2023 12:13:18 GMT -8
Over. And that assumes he gets pitched around a lot as well.
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Post by beavaristotle on Mar 8, 2023 12:21:52 GMT -8
Most home runs are off mistakes, save for the one Gavin down the right field line at Goss. With the bat speed he can generate, he has the advantage that when he gets a mistake it will go along way. Might come down to whether there is enough protection in the lineup to make people have to pitch to him
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Post by thewizard on Mar 8, 2023 12:26:18 GMT -8
Maybe this poll should have happened after a couple weekends of PAC-11 Play. I am sure the quality of pitchers will be better. Believe me, I hope I am wrong.
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Mar 8, 2023 13:22:47 GMT -8
I went over.....lots of homers and lots of K's
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cake
Sophomore
Posts: 1,598 
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Post by cake on Mar 8, 2023 13:46:09 GMT -8
Melton was on a similar pace last year and finished with 17. Over. Maybe way over.
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Mar 8, 2023 14:10:30 GMT -8
Maybe this poll should have happened after a couple weekends of PAC-11 Play. I am sure the quality of pitchers will be better. Believe me, I hope I am wrong. This is why I went with over, but lots of K's. He's gonna take his cuts. He's gonna yard some balls. The pitching will absolutely get better. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 8, 2023 14:13:44 GMT -8
For sure but they still have to throw in the zone to get strikes. When he hits it's going to be with velocity. Obviously he could start chasing and just strike out swinging like crazy, seen it before. My bet is lots of walks. That's not necessarily true. You're assuming is going to square up every strike. Better velocity and better movement can lead to weaker contact. Not every strike. He has high bat speed, that means more momentum. More momentum = more energy off any contact. Ofc he's going to have dribblers, fouls, fly balls and whatever else. The bat speed he generates just makes a higher possibility of a higher energy result. Guerra is in the same boat, when he is getting good contact it's often extra base hits due to the exit velocity adding lift or making it hard for defenders to chase down. |
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Post by Bodhisattva on Mar 8, 2023 14:52:32 GMT -8
Over, the team as a whole are jacking more HRs this year. If you walk him, then there is a guy on base with another HR hitter coming after him. Plus, his speed on the base paths is another deterrent for walking him.
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Post by Judge Smails on Mar 8, 2023 15:04:08 GMT -8
That's not necessarily true. You're assuming is going to square up every strike. Better velocity and better movement can lead to weaker contact. Not every strike. He has high bat speed, that means more momentum. More momentum = more energy off any contact. Ofc he's going to have dribblers, fouls, fly balls and whatever else. The bat speed he generates just makes a higher possibility of a higher energy result. Guerra is in the same boat, when he is getting good contact it's often extra base hits due to the exit velocity adding lift or making it hard for defenders to chase down. I understand physics. I just expect a drop off in conference play. Hope I'm wrong. But hey, I was wrong about McDowell. He showed no signs in the past two years of ever being competitive at the plate. He evidently figured out something in the off season. I hope he keeps it up. He's by far the biggest surprise so far. |
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