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Post by Bodhisattva on Apr 20, 2022 8:21:35 GMT -8
5 spot drop in RPI with the loss...hurts top 8 seed chances pretty hard. Loss tomorrow could eliminate the possibility without Pac12 reg season championship RPI is not the whole deciding factor on determining high seeds. There are a bunch of high RPI teams that have no chance at grabbing a Super Seed (Florida, Dallas Baptist, Georgia Tech). Arkansas 17 and Ok State is 21, both are probably safe in as top 8 seed if season ended today. |
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Post by tamatrix on Apr 20, 2022 9:17:56 GMT -8
5 spot drop in RPI with the loss...hurts top 8 seed chances pretty hard. Loss tomorrow could eliminate the possibility without Pac12 reg season championship RPI is not the whole deciding factor on determining high seeds. There are a bunch of high RPI teams that have no chance at grabbing a Super Seed (Florida, Dallas Baptist, Georgia Tech). Arkansas 17 and Ok State is 21, both are probably safe in as top 8 seed if season ended today. Of course, we know this...but also know that the likelihood of 2 Pac12 teams getting top 8 isn't high based on history unless the 2nd team getting it has a high RPI as the first one is is very likely to go to the reg season champ regardless of RPI.... |
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Post by Bodhisattva on Apr 20, 2022 10:08:55 GMT -8
RPI is not the whole deciding factor on determining high seeds. There are a bunch of high RPI teams that have no chance at grabbing a Super Seed (Florida, Dallas Baptist, Georgia Tech). Arkansas 17 and Ok State is 21, both are probably safe in as top 8 seed if season ended today. Of course, we know this...but also know that the likelihood of 2 Pac12 teams getting top 8 isn't high based on history unless the 2nd team getting it has a high RPI as the first one is is very likely to go to the reg season champ regardless of RPI.... Actually, I can easily see 3 top 8 seeds for Pac-12. If Stanford wins the Pac-12 and ducks and Beavers split 3-2 their series, and both win all or most of their remaining series then it easily could happen. After Tennessee, and even OSU and Miami, everyone else is in a jumbled mess. D1 shows 2 pac-12 with Gonzaga super seeds with their latest projections. They have Stanford as a 9 overall seed just outside the top 8. |
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Post by beavs6 on Apr 20, 2022 10:15:16 GMT -8
I (as most here) REALLY hope for that Top 8 Super Seed! C'mon Beavs!
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Post by beavaristotle on Apr 20, 2022 10:21:50 GMT -8
THe number of pitchers used is highly dependent on several factors and seeing that OSU is 10-5 in conference play, and (14) pitchers have seen some action in those games (11 making more than one appearance, 10 making 4 or more) some of theses pitchers will be needed. Again in Pac12 tourney double elimination and regional play it is highly more likely if you happen to play through the loser's bracket. If you can consistently get 6-7+ from Cooper and Kmatz it is a double edged sword... lessens the use of the pen, but adds to their IP. I never underestimate fatigue with power pitchers in terms of effectiveness and stress injuries. Cooper is already at 54.2 IP, the most he's tossed at OSU is 77. With five Pac12 series left he'll be will over that by the Pac12 tourney. Kmatz is at 43.1 as a true Frosh and averages about 5 IP/start, will be over 70. With a solid build he'll likely weather that many innings well. But, college ball is much different than HS or summer ball and kids all react differently. See OSU's last true Frosh power pitcher that exceeded 80 IP. Pfennings has only 8.2 IP in 3 games, but the nature of his injury is unknown. Musculature (spasms, strain, etc) or structural (disc or alignment, etc) will determine if it will be more a recurring problem or pretty much in the rearview mirror. But, in the remaining series how much can he truly be counted on to burn innings? Of the remaining, only Sebby (14 app)), Ferrer (11 app), Lattery (9 app) have shown any solid consistency. Hence, these games vs LBSt and the Zags I was hoping to see some (vast) improvements in terms of staff OSU could start truly depending on when games start to really matter. IMHO that has not happened. My orange colored glasses see Brown being added to the above list of "have shown any solid consistency". In his last 5 outings, totaling 5-1/3 innings, Brown has given up 3 hits (all singles), 1 BB, 0 ER and struckout 5. i agree about Brown stepping up, my concern it that the beavers pitching staff can't afford the luxury of a one inning closer. if Brown truly is one of our top 6 or 7 guys he is going to have eat more innings. the new analytics say your best group of pitchers must throw the most innings they can regardless of whether they are starters or relievers to limit the exposure of the weaker side of the staff. Tampa Bay Rays uses this theory with great success. |
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