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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Jun 26, 2018 23:02:10 GMT -8
ESPN put up the statistic that the team that wins the first game has won the Championship Series 73% of the time. This is true. 4 of the 15 teams that have started 0-1 have come back to win the National Championship.
The first and best was 2006 Oregon State, which overcame a 4-3 loss in game 1 to win the next two games 11-7 and 3-2 to win the National Championship. Fresno in 2008, Virginia in 2015, and Coastal Carolina also turned the trick. The Chanticleers overcame a three-run loss in Game 1 to win the next two games 5-4 and 4-3 two years ago in a Pac-12 - Southeast series.
More important than game 1, the team that wins the second game has won the Championship Series 80% of the time. (Of course, the winner of game 3 has won the Championship Series 100% of the time.)
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Post by mbabeav on Jun 27, 2018 10:08:05 GMT -8
ESPN put up the statistic that the team that wins the first game has won the Championship Series 73% of the time. This is true. 4 of the 15 teams that have started 0-1 have come back to win the National Championship. The first and best was 2006 Oregon State, which over came a 4-3 loss in game 1 to win the next two games 11-7 and 3-2 to win the National Championship. Fresno in 2008, Virginia in 2015, and Coastal Carolina also turned the trick. The Chanticleers overcame a three-run loss in Game 1 to win the next two games 5-4 and 4-3 two years ago in a Pac-12 - Southeast series. More important than game 1, the team that wins the second game has won the Championship Series 80% of the time. (Of course, the winner of game 3 has won the Championship Series 100% of the time.) Can I quote you on that game three stat, I mean that seems pretty absolute for a statistic  |
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Post by jimbeav on Jun 27, 2018 10:52:19 GMT -8
I got all excited about the game 2 stat, but I'm assuming that includes teams that already won game 1?
I wonder what the odds are for the game 2 winner when the win specifically causes the series to get tied up...I'm assuming it's probably close to 50/50?
GO BEAVS!
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Post by irimi on Jun 27, 2018 11:12:38 GMT -8
I got all excited about the game 2 stat, but I'm assuming that includes teams that already won game 1? I wonder what the odds are for the game 2 winner when the win specifically causes the series to get tied up...I'm assuming it's probably close to 50/50? GO BEAVS! I would expect it to be lower than that. After all, just like in the regionals or supers, having lost the first game puts you in a weaker position from the beginning. The winning team can play game 2 relaxed and confident that even if they lose, there's still a game 3. Pitching isn't as desperate. Coach can save the big gun for the final game. |
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Post by mbabeav on Jun 27, 2018 12:15:32 GMT -8
OSU is 100% successful when reaching the finals....
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Jun 27, 2018 12:33:03 GMT -8
I got all excited about the game 2 stat, but I'm assuming that includes teams that already won game 1? I wonder what the odds are for the game 2 winner when the win specifically causes the series to get tied up...I'm assuming it's probably close to 50/50? GO BEAVS! In game 3, the winner of game 2 wins 57% of the time. 2006 Oregon State, 2008 Fresno State, 2015 Virginia, and 2016 Coastal Carolina won games 2 and 3. The loser of game 2 wins 43% of the time. 2003 Rice, 2009 LSU, and 2014 Vanderbilt won games 1 and 3. Oregon State has won four consecutive elimination games. In order to win the Championship, the Beavers must win two more. In the 71 year history of the College World Series, only one team has ever survived elimination six times in one College World Series, 2006 Oregon State. |
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Post by irimi on Jun 27, 2018 12:51:02 GMT -8
I got all excited about the game 2 stat, but I'm assuming that includes teams that already won game 1? I wonder what the odds are for the game 2 winner when the win specifically causes the series to get tied up...I'm assuming it's probably close to 50/50? GO BEAVS! In game 3, the winner of game 2 wins 57% of the time. 2006 Oregon State, 2008 Fresno State, 2015 Virginia, and 2016 Coastal Carolina won games 2 and 3. The loser of game 2 wins 43% of the time. 2003 Rice, 2009 LSU, and 2014 Vanderbilt won games 1 and 3. Oregon State has won four consecutive elimination games. In order to win the Championship, the Beavers must win two more. In the 71 year history of the College World Series, only one team has ever survived elimination six times in one College World Series, 2006 Oregon State. I was sure that the percentage would be lower. How interesting! Thanks for digging up the data! |
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Post by abureid on Jun 27, 2018 13:18:04 GMT -8
I got all excited about the game 2 stat, but I'm assuming that includes teams that already won game 1? I wonder what the odds are for the game 2 winner when the win specifically causes the series to get tied up...I'm assuming it's probably close to 50/50? GO BEAVS! In game 3, the winner of game 2 wins 57% of the time. 2006 Oregon State, 2008 Fresno State, 2015 Virginia, and 2016 Coastal Carolina won games 2 and 3. The loser of game 2 wins 43% of the time. 2003 Rice, 2009 LSU, and 2014 Vanderbilt won games 1 and 3. Oregon State has won four consecutive elimination games. In order to win the Championship, the Beavers must win two more. In the 71 year history of the College World Series, only one team has ever survived elimination six times in one College World Series, 2006 Oregon State. And on Wed night, after the dogpile that Adley starts, there will still only be one Oregon State (but they did it twice) |
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