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Post by ocbeav on Feb 25, 2016 10:10:55 GMT -8
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Post by georgevonbeaverstrom on Feb 25, 2016 10:29:03 GMT -8
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Post by treasurevalleybeav on Feb 25, 2016 12:46:12 GMT -8
My guess for making the big dance based on our record from here on out:
1-3 will NOT get us in (no P-12 tourney wins)
2-3 chances are 50/50 (1 win in P-12 tourney)
3-3 almost certainly will (2 wins in P-12 tourney)
I'm assuming we beat Wazzu and lose both in LA. If we win two of those last three, I think we could be in regardless of the conf tourney.
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baileys
Freshman
Recruiting Guru
Posts: 184 
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Post by baileys on Feb 25, 2016 16:28:19 GMT -8
from LiveRPI forecast
Conference: P12
Expected RPI: 42.2
Current RPI: 31
Expected SOS: 8
Current SOS: 1
Current Record: 15-10
Expected Record: 16-12
Current Conf Record: 7-8
Expected Conf Record: 8-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: 3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: 3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: 3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: 3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+: 5-0
Current OOC Record: 8-2
Expected OOC Record: 8-2
Expected OOC RPI: 35
Expected OOC SOS: 62
also some probabilities Date Opponent (Expected RPI) Conf Location Score Outcome Prob(W) Spread 2-28 Washington St. (199.8) P12 H 0-0 87% 12.2 3-2 USC (30.5) P12 A 0-0 24% -7.4 3-5 UCLA (69.5) P12 A 0-0 31% -5.3 www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Oregon%20St..html |
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Post by beaverstever on Feb 25, 2016 16:46:53 GMT -8
The "expected" outcome looks to put us on the wrong side of the bubble, which I suspect is what is used by some of the bubble-predicting brackets.
Both teams fought last night like it was a play-in game (including nerves at the FT line), and that's what it's going to be from here on out (other than WSU playing for pride) as UCLA apparently also still has life.
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