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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 23, 2018 13:59:22 GMT -8
I am certainly no expert but I have been reading extensively on the national college baseball boards. Except for a complete collapse this weekend the BEAVS are a shoe in for a regional and a super regional. I find the talk about rpi to be a complete waste of time. If we win 2 this weekend we play at home all the way to Omaha. Thats a very comforting thought. GO BEAVS!!! . In previous years, the committee has stuck closely to the final RPI numbers in the awarding of regional hosts and national seeds. My guess is that 85 percent of the hosts named fall within the RPI guidance. Any team falling outside the guidance will have to consider themselves fortunate for the committee to move them up. I generally agree that 2 of 3 gets us there, but I don't find any of it comforting, especially given what happened in 2016...or last Sunday. Take 2017. Final RPI: 1. Oregon State (#1 National Seed)
2. North Carolina (#2 National Seed)
3. Florida (#3 National Seed)
4. LSU (#4 National Seed)
5. Texas Tech (#5 National Seed)
6. Louisville (#7 National Seed)
7. TCU (#6 National Seed)
8. Stanford (#8 National Seed)
9. Kentucky (Regional Host)
10. Florida State (Regional Host)
11. Southern Miss (Regional Host)
12. Clemson (Regional Host)
13. Long Beach State (Regional Host)
14. Arkansas (Regional Host)
15. Wake Forest (Regional Host)
16. Virginia (#2 in Forth Worth Regional)
17. Houston (Regional Host)
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Post by Judge Smails on May 23, 2018 19:34:54 GMT -8
I am certainly no expert but I have been reading extensively on the national college baseball boards. Except for a complete collapse this weekend the BEAVS are a shoe in for a regional and a super regional. I find the talk about rpi to be a complete waste of time. If we win 2 this weekend we play at home all the way to Omaha. Thats a very comforting thought. GO BEAVS!!! Oregon State was a complete shoe-in for an at large bid in 2016, too. That 2016 Committee only had one West Coast representative from San Francisco, who is still there. The second West Coast representative this year is from Fresno State. In all probability, if Oregon State wins the series against UCLA, absent a Washington sweep, the Beavers will get a national seed. I agree. The other factor this year is that the top 16 are seeded. So, there is a difference between getting a seven or eight seed and playing Auburn or Florida State in a Corvallis Super Regional and being a better seed and playing a Connecticut, East Carolina, or Minnesota in a Corvallis Super Regional. I believe that six of the eight National Seeds last year were given the seed that corresponded with their RPI ranking. The only two that were not given a seed based on RPI ranking were #6 TCU (RPI 7) and #7 Louisville (RPI 6), who swapped spots. Poo poo RPI all you want, but it tends to be an excellent predictor about whether Oregon State will wind up with a National Seed. [ I just crapped out a wicked RPI. What do I win? |
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Post by joecool on May 23, 2018 20:23:44 GMT -8
I am certainly no expert but I have been reading extensively on the national college baseball boards. Except for a complete collapse this weekend the BEAVS are a shoe in for a regional and a super regional. I find the talk about rpi to be a complete waste of time. If we win 2 this weekend we play at home all the way to Omaha. Thats a very comforting thought. GO BEAVS!!! I could not agree more!!! Stop worrying about the RPI. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 23, 2018 23:05:47 GMT -8
In other games: Florida Atlantic, Canisius, Missouri State, Youngstown State, Ohio State, Nicholls State, Texas, North Dakota State, UMBC, Milwaukee, Marist, Rice, Illinois State, Oklahoma State, Seattle University, Central Michigan, Oral Roberts, Central Arkansas, High Point, Cal State Bakersfield, and Illinois. Looking at teams around Oregon State in RPI, the Beavers are closer to #4 Texas Tech than #9 Ole Miss. #4 Texas Tech and #6 North Carolina would each fall below Oregon State with a loss. It does not appear that any team behind Oregon State can pass the Beavers today, absent help. In the ACC Tournament, #12 Pittsburgh upset both #1 North Carolina and #8 Georgia Tech to win Pool A. North Carolina's ACC Tournament will end Friday against Georgia Tech. Other than Pittsburgh's two wins, the favorite has won each game in the ACC Tournament. In the Big 12 Tournament, the 1, 2, 3, and 4 seeds lost. TCU beat Texas Tech by 10. With the North Carolina and Texas Tech losses, Oregon State is currently sixth in RPI, tied to beyond the 10,000th in RPI with Stetson, which currently sits in fifth in RPI. Oregon State likely can move up to around fourth with a sweep. If the Beavers go 2-1, Oregon State likely stays put. If the Bruins go 2-1, Oregon State likely falls to around 10th. If the Bruins sweep, Oregon State likely falls to around 12th. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 25, 2018 15:30:17 GMT -8
Looking at teams around Oregon State in RPI, the Beavers are closer to #4 Texas Tech than #9 Ole Miss. #4 Texas Tech and #6 North Carolina would each fall below Oregon State with a loss. It does not appear that any team behind Oregon State can pass the Beavers today, absent help. In the ACC Tournament, #12 Pittsburgh upset both #1 North Carolina and #8 Georgia Tech to win Pool A. North Carolina's ACC Tournament will end Friday against Georgia Tech. Other than Pittsburgh's two wins, the favorite has won each game in the ACC Tournament. In the Big 12 Tournament, the 1, 2, 3, and 4 seeds lost. TCU beat Texas Tech by 10. With the North Carolina and Texas Tech losses, Oregon State is currently sixth in RPI, tied to beyond the 10,000th in RPI with Stetson, which currently sits in fifth in RPI. Oregon State likely can move up to around fourth with a sweep. If the Beavers go 2-1, Oregon State likely stays put. If the Bruins go 2-1, Oregon State likely falls to around 10th. If the Bruins sweep, Oregon State likely falls to around 12th. Oregon State is currently in fifth in RPI. The Beavers would pass Stetson into fourth with a win. Stetson has qualified for the Atlantic Sun Championship Game and will play the winner of Jacksonville and North Florida, who play tonight. Texas Tech is sixth in RPI and would likely pass Oregon State with a win against West Virginia and a Beaver loss. If both lose, the Red Raiders' Big 12 Tournament run ends and Oregon State will stay ahead of Texas Tech in RPI. North Carolina is seventh in RPI and beat Georgia Tech, but the Heels' earlier loss to Pittsburgh ensures that the Georgia Tech game is North Carolina's final game in the ACC Tournament. The Beavers likely stay ahead of the Heels with a split or better. Despite the video posted earlier on another post, Ole Miss recovered to beat Georgia in extra innings. The Bulldogs' are eighth in RPI, but their SEC Tournament is over. Oregon State likely stays ahead of Georgia with a split or better. Ole Miss is ninth in RPI. Ole Miss is up on Auburn 2-0 in the fifth. The Rebels will probably pass Georgia and North Carolina into seventh with a win. Ole Miss would likely pass Oregon State, as well, with a UCLA win. None of the other teams can probably catch Oregon State today. |
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