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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Mar 16, 2018 22:55:31 GMT -8
Oregon State's RPI is now 18. California's RPI is 23. California and Oregon State's RPI is so high that each team's RPI improves as long as each team does not sweep the other. The final two games matter more to the Bears' RPI rather than the Beavers' RPI.
RPI Projections:
If Oregon State sweeps:
Oregon State 10 California 30
If the teams split:
Oregon State 16 California 19
If California wins the series:
California 9 Oregon State 22
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Post by sagebrush on Mar 17, 2018 7:38:06 GMT -8
If you have a winning conference record, your in conference games will lower your RPI. If you go 20-10, your conference opponents will be 10 games under .500. You make hay in RPI with your in conference opponents winning OOC and your OOC opponents tearing up their conferences.
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Post by papatoe on Mar 17, 2018 13:56:54 GMT -8
You know its too early for RPI when the clucks are ahead of us
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Post by Tigardbeav on Mar 17, 2018 16:53:35 GMT -8
looks like to possibility of a tie was left out of this analysis! as we are in a rain delay after 5.5 innings this thing might just go in the books. See Utah a few years ago when they had a bus to catch. (yeah, right) whew. That was close. Beavs bats wake up late and we are headed for Top 10 RPI instead of Top 20
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Post by orangeblood on Mar 17, 2018 21:01:04 GMT -8
There would have been no tie. The game would have been completed Sunday.
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Post by Tigardbeav on Mar 18, 2018 7:16:34 GMT -8
There would have been no tie. The game would have been completed Sunday. and the Utah game would be finished on Monday because there are no ties in baseball. Especially in a pennant race why I remember Stanford playing in Corvallis on Easter Sunday!
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Mar 18, 2018 15:02:09 GMT -8
If you have a winning conference record, your in conference games will lower your RPI. If you go 20-10, your conference opponents will be 10 games under .500. You make hay in RPI with your in conference opponents winning OOC and your OOC opponents tearing up their conferences. This is wrong. Your wins and losses are factored out of the opponents' calculation. No matter what your record is, the other teams in the conference's record is .500 in conference for RPI purposes. A lot of metrics guys would point out that this is one of the things that make RPI less predictive. I.e. it would be more accurate, if the opponents' calculation included your games for all teams. A lot of metrics guys railed against the old BCS SOS calculation for the same reason.
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Post by sagebrush on Mar 18, 2018 15:47:11 GMT -8
Still, it sucks that your opponents' record is worth twice as much as yours.
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Mar 18, 2018 21:46:22 GMT -8
Still, it sucks that your opponents' record is worth twice as much as yours. I could not agree more with this. The problem with RPI is that it poorly measures how good a team is. It is a better tool for measuring SOS but it is not particularly good at that either.
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