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Post by ostate on Jan 19, 2018 14:16:45 GMT -8
Since we are about 1/3 through conference play, I took a look at the rest of the season and the current 'bracketology' and have come to the conclusion that it's going to take 20 wins and/or a 2nd place finish in the P12... Although not probable, here is a projection for the rest of the season that would likely get us in: L: $C @ home W: sucks on the road W: tree on the road W: cal on the road W: wazzu @ home W: udub @ home W: ruins on the road L: $C on the road L: zona @ home W: AZ st @ home W: udub on the road W: wazzu on the road That would put us at 20-10 (and winning more conference road games than we have in a long, long time) going in to the P12 tourney and would probably need to get to the title game if we didn't finish in the top 2 in conference play... It's a complete crapshoot and highly unlikely but I see the world through orange colored glasses... |
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Post by TheGlove on Jan 19, 2018 14:19:19 GMT -8
Fox's Casey Jacobson stated last night OSU wont make the NCAA tournament, so why bother?
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Post by ostate on Jan 19, 2018 14:21:57 GMT -8
Fox's Casey Jacobson stated last night OSU wont make the NCAA tournament, so why bother? I had some free time and I'm a glutton for punishment... besides, who's Casey Jacobson? |
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Post by TheGlove on Jan 19, 2018 14:32:00 GMT -8
Fox's Casey Jacobson stated last night OSU wont make the NCAA tournament, so why bother? I had some free time and I'm a glutton for punishment... besides, who's Casey Jacobson? He's a big hit in Bamberg. |
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Post by beaverbeliever71 on Jan 19, 2018 21:43:38 GMT -8
Since we are about 1/3 through conference play, I took a look at the rest of the season and the current 'bracketology' and have come to the conclusion that it's going to take 20 wins and/or a 2nd place finish in the P12... Although not probable, here is a projection for the rest of the season that would likely get us in: W: $C @ home W: sucks on the road W: tree on the road W: cal on the road W: wazzu @ home W: udub @ home W: ruins on the road L: $C on the road L: zona @ home W: AZ st @ home L: udub on the road W: wazzu on the road That would put us at 20-10 (and winning more conference road games than we have in a long, long time) going in to the P12 tourney and would probably need to get to the title game if we didn't finish in the top 2 in conference play... It's a complete crapshoot and highly unlikely but I see the world through orange colored glasses... Or they could just win the PAC 12 Tournament and get the automatic bid |
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Post by beaverbeliever71 on Jan 19, 2018 21:56:34 GMT -8
Fox's Casey Jacobson stated last night OSU wont make the NCAA tournament, so why bother? Yea I saw that also.. would love to see him eat his words |
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Post by mbabeav on Jan 19, 2018 22:59:17 GMT -8
Or they could just win the PAC 12 Tournament and get the automatic bid That's the ONLY way it could realistically happen. That is a lot of road wins, I have been thinking NIT from the start, come on Beavs, surprise me! |
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Post by drunkandstoopidbeav on Jan 20, 2018 10:41:47 GMT -8
The way I look at it, two years ago the Beavers won 18 regular season games, finished 6th or 7th in the conference, and only won 1 league tournament game, and still made it to the tournament. It may have been a bit of a gift at the time, but there’s no way I’m ready to call it a season. If the Beavs can win 19 regular season games (8 of 12, not unreachable) and take 2 in the conference tournament, I’d certainly be crossing my fingers with the 21 wins, heck 20 wins would have me hopeful. There’s more than 1 or 2 ways in.
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Post by beaverdreams on Jan 20, 2018 11:00:29 GMT -8
Winning in Eugene will I think be the toughest of those wins...then at Stanford and UCLA of course......I think NIT is a reasonable goal, although I'd love to be surprised....
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Jan 23, 2018 11:43:08 GMT -8
Since we are about 1/3 through conference play, I took a look at the rest of the season and the current 'bracketology' and have come to the conclusion that it's going to take 20 wins and/or a 2nd place finish in the P12... Although not probable, here is a projection for the rest of the season that would likely get us in: L: $C @ home W: sucks on the road W: tree on the road W: cal on the road W: wazzu @ home W: udub @ home W: ruins on the road L: $C on the road L: zona @ home W: AZ st @ home W: udub on the road W: wazzu on the road That would put us at 20-10 (and winning more conference road games than we have in a long, long time) going in to the P12 tourney and would probably need to get to the title game if we didn't finish in the top 2 in conference play... It's a complete crapshoot and highly unlikely but I see the world through orange colored glasses... The Pac-12 appears to be a 3/4-bid conference at the moment. Oregon State at 20-10 has a projected RPI of 66. To put the Beavers in a good position to get an at large bid, Oregon State really needs to go 10-1 here on out. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Jan 23, 2018 12:06:26 GMT -8
The way I look at it, two years ago the Beavers won 18 regular season games, finished 6th or 7th in the conference, and only won 1 league tournament game, and still made it to the tournament. It may have been a bit of a gift at the time, but there’s no way I’m ready to call it a season. If the Beavs can win 19 regular season games (8 of 12, not unreachable) and take 2 in the conference tournament, I’d certainly be crossing my fingers with the 21 wins, heck 20 wins would have me hopeful. There’s more than 1 or 2 ways in. The difference is that the Pac-12 had the third-best RPI in 2015-16. The Pac-12 is fifth in 2017-18. Oregon State finished sixth at 9-9 with an 18-11 overall record. The Beavers held the three-way tiebreaker with USC and Washington to finish sixth. The Beavers punched their ticket to the Dance with a 77-66 win over 15-16 Arizona State in Las Vegas to finish the regular season 19-12. Oregon State finished with an RPI of 29, thanks mostly to a non-conference RPI of 28. The Beavers this year, so far, have a non-conference RPI of 212. The pair of five-point losses to St. John's and Long Beach State in Lake Buena Vista loom large. Oregon State played the three worst teams in the tournament (RPI 80, 168, and 326) and went 1-2. The Beavers missed West Virginia (RPI 21), Missouri (RPI 38), Central Florida (RPI 57), and Nebraska (RPI 67). Oregon State can realistically lose only one more game down the stretch and still be hopeful to get an at large bid, unless things pretty much break absolutely perfectly among games involving the Beavers' opponents. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Jan 23, 2018 12:08:05 GMT -8
Winning in Eugene will I think be the toughest of those wins...then at Stanford and UCLA of course......I think NIT is a reasonable goal, although I'd love to be surprised.... In order to get to the NIT, Oregon State needs to get to 18 wins. 10-1 for the Dance. 7-4 for NIT. Anything less is going to leave the Beavers with a lot of work to do in the Pac-12 Tournament. |
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Post by baseba1111 on Jan 23, 2018 12:13:54 GMT -8
Winning in Eugene will I think be the toughest of those wins...then at Stanford and UCLA of course......I think NIT is a reasonable goal, although I'd love to be surprised.... Unless you think this team is far superior to the tourney team (I beleive they were only 3-9 away from Gill in true roadies) or the league is that much significantly weaker, you realize that ANY roadie is tough... 6-33 in WT's tenure... 3-26 (?) in Pac12 play up til now. |
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