RPI "Impact Games" and chance of not being #1 at end
May 16, 2017 10:28:13 GMT -8
lebaneaver likes this
Post by tamatrix on May 16, 2017 10:28:13 GMT -8
Warren Nolan has added a pretty cool feature this year, when on any game day, can see the "Impact" of the game being played. It shows how many basis points a team is ahead or behind others around it in the RPI calculation and then isolates that game alone and does math on what the impacts of that game will be on the team's RPI.
So, for example, we are currently as I type this 237 basis points ahead of UNC (.6422 rpi vs .6185)....and Warren Nolan is predicting that the Impact of our neutral site game with UP is that a win will lose us 34 points and a loss would lose us 90 points.
For a comparison, UNC hosts UNCW today and have calcs of win = -4 and loss =-63....
Anyway, first just a cool thing they've added I thought worth sharing. 2nd, absent a huge swoon vs remaining 8 games, the likelihood of us giving up the #1 RPI at this point doesn't look likely....and if we did, we'd all agree Beavs did it to themselves with losing games vs bad teams (UP, ACU).....
warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/team-impact?team=Oregon-State
So, for example, we are currently as I type this 237 basis points ahead of UNC (.6422 rpi vs .6185)....and Warren Nolan is predicting that the Impact of our neutral site game with UP is that a win will lose us 34 points and a loss would lose us 90 points.
For a comparison, UNC hosts UNCW today and have calcs of win = -4 and loss =-63....
Anyway, first just a cool thing they've added I thought worth sharing. 2nd, absent a huge swoon vs remaining 8 games, the likelihood of us giving up the #1 RPI at this point doesn't look likely....and if we did, we'd all agree Beavs did it to themselves with losing games vs bad teams (UP, ACU).....
warrennolan.com/baseball/2017/team-impact?team=Oregon-State
