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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 5, 2024 14:30:48 GMT -8
TATM and Arky both drop series. Vandy got swept by Georgia which pretty much ends their hopes. UCI is in big trouble against calpoly which will probably knock them out as a top seed. But Georgia's sweep means that the Bulldogs may be muscling their way into the Dores' spot. UCI probably is out as a host with a loss. Probably stay in with a win. Irvine's RPI of 24 is great for a Big West team. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on May 5, 2024 15:08:41 GMT -8
TATM and Arky both drop series. Vandy got swept by Georgia which pretty much ends their hopes. UCI is in big trouble against calpoly which will probably knock them out as a top seed. But Georgia's sweep means that the Bulldogs may be muscling their way into the Dores' spot. UCI probably is out as a host with a loss. Probably stay in with a win. Irvine's RPI of 24 is great for a Big West team. Totally true. The SEC will have 4 supers hosts even if they have to put in a team with 20 losses. |
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Post by 56chevy on May 5, 2024 15:35:52 GMT -8
Most likely scenario to host a super regional at this point would be to be named a regional host in 9-16 spot, win our regional and the national seed in our bracket gets knocked out of tournament.
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Post by easyheat on May 5, 2024 15:49:48 GMT -8
TATM? LOL, that's my new favorite. Some irony there, other SEC schools bringing up $$$.
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 5, 2024 17:42:07 GMT -8
Most likely scenario to host a super regional at this point would be to be named a regional host in 9-16 spot, win our regional and the national seed in our bracket gets knocked out of tournament. 7-0 in regular season plus a win in the Pac-12 Tournament. 6-1 in the regular season plus a winning record in the Pac-12 Tournament. 5-2 in the regular season plus four wins in Scottsdale. That assumes a normal amount of regression to the mean from the other teams. The ACC and SEC teams will beat themselves up some, hopefully in a way that will be beneficial to Oregon State. Having said that, it is still possible that 2024 will be an unusually top-heavy year. Short of there, you probably need more help than normal. I am curious how the rankings look next week. |
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Post by 56chevy on May 5, 2024 21:12:02 GMT -8
May get to 5-2 to finish season, no way I see four wins in tournament unless we've got some position players that can pitch. That would leave us as regional host?
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 5, 2024 21:46:18 GMT -8
May get to 5-2 to finish season, no way I see four wins in tournament unless we've got some position players that can pitch. That would leave us as regional host? The top three teams in the Pac-12 play Wednesday and Thursday. (Teams 4-6 play Tuesday and Thursday. Teams 7-9 play Tuesday and Wednesday). Semifinal on Friday. Final on Saturday. I would guess that we go with Hunter, May, Kmatz, and Segura in that order in the Pac-12 Tournament. The top three teams can clinch a spot in the semifinal with a win against the 4-7/5-8/6-9 winner, regardless of what else happens. So, if the lower-seeded team upsets the second-best team in the three-team bracket, a top three team can clinch a spot with a win on Wednesday. As such, Oregon State might save May and Kmatz for the Semifinal and Final, if they can clinch a Semifinal in Game One. As to the rest of what you said, Oregon State is currently tied for the conference lead in WHIP in conference play and first in ERA. Pitching is down for an Oregon State team, but the Beavers have one of the best pitching staffs. Whether they pitch that way in Scottsdale remains to be seen. Oregon State will have at least a one in nine chance of winning the Pac-12 Tournament. And, honestly, the Beavs should be one of the two or three favorites to win the whole thing. |
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