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Post by beaverinsider211 on Apr 18, 2024 23:10:01 GMT -8
People forget how good this team was at the beginning of the season when fully healthy. The energy was different. They had an edge and aura about them that you couldn't shake. The best competition they've played was in Texas and they played one of the best college baseball games I've ever seen against Arkansas. Beat a Texas Tech team-handedly who will end up a 2/3 seed in a regional (Tech just pushed Arkansas at home to the limit this week with the hogs walking them off twice in two games as well). Beat a Michigan team that is now getting hot and in the hunt for a B1G title. Beat Oklahoma State who is now on track to win the Big 12 and host a regional. Don't get me wrong there are some question marks with this bullpen that need to be answered but I think a lot of folks are negating the fact that you have 3 not only big contributors but energy givers out right now in McDowell, Caraway, and Kasper. You can make that a 4th as well with Bazzana questionable for this weekend. We have depth and a ton of talent but you can't replace guys who affect the ebb and flow of the team. Baseball is an energy sport and when you have emotional leaders out of a lineup it changes the vibe. We are 30-6 with guys like McDowell, Caraway, Kasper, Jimenez, Latterly, Scott, May, Palmer, and Decremer either missing all or a good chunk of the season. It's all about getting hot at the right time and if this team is fully healthy come May and get another guy two to step up in the bullpen we are going to be in a really good spot.
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Post by 56chevy on Apr 19, 2024 6:32:47 GMT -8
Energy still pretty good. The focus is on not having to leave Goss until a trip to Omaha. We have a bit of a history with the NCAA tournament committee that would not want us to leave anything to chance. A Wednesday night loss to a low RPI team is bound to cause a reaction.
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Apr 19, 2024 7:39:42 GMT -8
The challenge is our RPI. Our SOS is poor, and we don't have a lot of opps to improve RPI, but it can sure go down a lot more. Like 56 Chevy said, losing a midweek to sub .500 MW team is something this team cannot afford.
I'd feel a lot better knowing we are a top 8 seed, set to host a super should we win the regional. I'm not sure if we can even obtain a good enough RPI, at this point to justify that. Still plenty of baseball to play, but our remaining schedule pits us against poor RPI teams. No room for error, and we probably need some help from other teams
This Beavs squad does not scream "go on the road and win a super" right now,imo. That said, if we are healthy, and 🔥, I think this team could win a series against anyone, anywhere.
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Apr 19, 2024 7:47:43 GMT -8
Better take care of biz at Evans first. A road conference sweep keeps us in the hunt for top 8 seed......maybe. Cals current RPI is 75....the Pac 12 stinks this season. RPI killer.
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Post by zeroposter on Apr 19, 2024 8:50:35 GMT -8
Energy still pretty good. The focus is on not having to leave Goss until a trip to Omaha. We have a bit of a history with the NCAA tournament committee that would not want us to leave anything to chance. A Wednesday night loss to a low RPI team is bound to cause a reaction. Excellent reply to the OP. Beaver baseball, get the series win at Cal! |
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Post by ricke71 on Apr 19, 2024 8:52:09 GMT -8
Better take care of biz at Evans first. A road conference sweep keeps us in the hunt for top 8 seed......maybe. Cals current RPI is 75....the Pac 12 stinks this season. RPI killer. Cal has some very good wins in the PAC 12 this season. They roughed up the Ducks Friday guy (Gordon) for 3 HR's in Eugene March 15, winning that game 13-1 (Ducks won the series). Gordon has been very good and unbeaten since. They won Game 2 against UTAH. Last weekend they had a road sweep - very impressive (even though against WSU). A road sweep for Beavs in Berkeley is pretty high on the difficulty scale - and it would be a pleasant surprise. Though Arizona pulled it off 2 weeks ago. Beavs had "0" PAC-12 road sweeps in 2023. OSU is 2-3 in PAC-12 road games this season. . |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Apr 19, 2024 8:58:51 GMT -8
Better take care of biz at Evans first. A road conference sweep keeps us in the hunt for top 8 seed......maybe. Cals current RPI is 75....the Pac 12 stinks this season. RPI killer. Cal has some very good wins in the PAC 12 this season. They roughed up the Ducks Friday guy (Gordon) for 3 HR's in Eugene March 15, winning that game 13-1 (Ducks won the series). Gordon has been very good and unbeaten since. They won Game 2 against UTAH. Last weekend they had a road sweep - very impressive (even though against WSU). A road sweep for Beavs in Berkeley is pretty high on the difficulty scale - and it would be a pleasant surprise. Though Arizona pulled it off 2 weeks ago. Beavs had "0" PAC-12 road sweeps in 2023. OSU is 2-3 in PAC-12 road games this season. . Sundays are an adventure. And yes, conf sweeps on the road are very difficult. I just think we need some things like that to fall in place if we want to be a top 8 seed. That ARZ series on the road, to end conf play, could be the difference. Always tough down there.....and ARZ is looking good. |
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Post by beaverinsider211 on Apr 19, 2024 9:00:24 GMT -8
The challenge is our RPI. Our SOS is poor, and we don't have a lot of opps to improve RPI, but it can sure go down a lot more. Like 56 Chevy said, losing a midweek to sub .500 MW team is something this team cannot afford. I'd feel a lot better knowing we are a top 8 seed, set to host a super should we win the regional. I'm not sure if we can even obtain a good enough RPI, at this point to justify that. Still plenty of baseball to play, but our remaining schedule pits us against poor RPI teams. No room for error, and we probably need some help from other teams This Beavs squad does not scream "go on the road and win a super" right now,imo. That said, if we are healthy, and 🔥, I think this team could win a series against anyone, anywhere. Stanford had 17th best RPI last year. They were a top 8 seed. Unless something changes this year winning the PAC 12 carries weight with the committee. 2022 Virginia Tech 50 SOS and 10th in RPI was 4th overall seed. Just need to take care of business against the rest of conference schedule. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Apr 19, 2024 9:15:29 GMT -8
Better take care of biz at Evans first. A road conference sweep keeps us in the hunt for top 8 seed......maybe. Cals current RPI is 75....the Pac 12 stinks this season. RPI killer. Ive noticed conference RPI is helped by every beav conference series though. Cal could be swept and move up in RPI. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Apr 19, 2024 9:16:27 GMT -8
The challenge is our RPI. Our SOS is poor, and we don't have a lot of opps to improve RPI, but it can sure go down a lot more. Like 56 Chevy said, losing a midweek to sub .500 MW team is something this team cannot afford. I'd feel a lot better knowing we are a top 8 seed, set to host a super should we win the regional. I'm not sure if we can even obtain a good enough RPI, at this point to justify that. Still plenty of baseball to play, but our remaining schedule pits us against poor RPI teams. No room for error, and we probably need some help from other teams This Beavs squad does not scream "go on the road and win a super" right now,imo. That said, if we are healthy, and 🔥, I think this team could win a series against anyone, anywhere. Stanford had 17th best RPI last year. They were a top 8 seed. Unless something changes this year winning the PAC 12 carries weight with the committee. 2022 Virginia Tech 50 SOS and 10th in RPI was 4th overall seed. Just need to take care of business against the rest of conference schedule. I'm hopeful that we can win the conf, and keep our RPI good enough. We still don't have much room for error, and the Pac 12 is historically bad rpi-wise this season. We shall see how it plays out. |
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Post by rgeorge on Apr 19, 2024 9:21:51 GMT -8
The challenge is our RPI. Our SOS is poor, and we don't have a lot of opps to improve RPI, but it can sure go down a lot more. Like 56 Chevy said, losing a midweek to sub .500 MW team is something this team cannot afford. I'd feel a lot better knowing we are a top 8 seed, set to host a super should we win the regional. I'm not sure if we can even obtain a good enough RPI, at this point to justify that. Still plenty of baseball to play, but our remaining schedule pits us against poor RPI teams. No room for error, and we probably need some help from other teams This Beavs squad does not scream "go on the road and win a super" right now,imo. That said, if we are healthy, and 🔥, I think this team could win a series against anyone, anywhere. Stanford had 17th best RPI last year. They were a top 8 seed. Unless something changes this year winning the PAC 12 carries weight with the committee. 2022 Virginia Tech 50 SOS and 10th in RPI was 4th overall seed. Just need to take care of business against the rest of conference schedule. In '23 Stanford had a SOS and NC SOS in the top 30 as they only played 12 total games vs Q3+Q4 teams. OSU will not reach any of those SOS numbers as they will play 35-37 Q3+Q4 games. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Apr 19, 2024 9:36:59 GMT -8
Stanford had 17th best RPI last year. They were a top 8 seed. Unless something changes this year winning the PAC 12 carries weight with the committee. 2022 Virginia Tech 50 SOS and 10th in RPI was 4th overall seed. Just need to take care of business against the rest of conference schedule. In '23 Stanford had a SOS and NC SOS in the top 30 as they only played 12 total games vs Q3+Q4 teams. OSU will not reach any of those SOS numbers as they will play 35-37 Q3+Q4 games. Current Nolan RPI rankings.....we have the worst SOS in the top 35 teams. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Apr 19, 2024 10:05:26 GMT -8
Been running the numbers and thinking about this really hard. We have 5 series left and 3 non con against UP, Oregon and Gonzaga for 18 more games. With the likely return of Baz, Caraway, MMD and Kasper (I know hes back but like maybe actually back?) we should be at full strength for the final stretch. I think we should just win those series and midweeks, that is a dope plan.
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Post by beaverinsider211 on Apr 19, 2024 10:06:44 GMT -8
Variables like SOS and RPI are uncontrollable to a certain degree. Unfortunately a lot of the teams in the PAC12 were not good at the beginning of the season against non-conference teams. It sucks but not much we can do about it. All those teams are also better than their record and RPI states which doesn’t help if they sneak a wins against us in conference play.
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Post by irimi on Apr 19, 2024 10:51:02 GMT -8
Just win today’s game.
No need to look further. Win and good things happen. Lose and good things don’t happen. Don’t give anyone reason to doubt. Just today’s game.
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