ftd
Junior
"I think real leaders show up when times are hard." Trent Bray 11/29/2023
Posts: 2,517
|
Post by ftd on Dec 9, 2023 15:16:11 GMT -8
Typical game for these two...and an odd coaching decision Army up 17-3 less than 3 minutes in the 4th. Navy gets a TD and goes for two?  Odd decision...they missed it and are now down 8 rather than 7 |
|
|
|
Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Dec 9, 2023 17:16:28 GMT -8
Typical game for these two...and an odd coaching decision Army up 17-3 less than 3 minutes in the 4th. Navy gets a TD and goes for two? Odd decision...they missed it and are now down 8 rather than 7 There are a ton of analytics that show that going for two down eight greatly improves your chances of victory. If you get it, you basically win with a second touchdown. If you miss, you are just a two-point conversion away from tying. Playing for overtime is generally an awful strategy, because it is several unlikely things just to set up a 50% shot at winning. |
|
ftd
Junior
"I think real leaders show up when times are hard." Trent Bray 11/29/2023
Posts: 2,517
|
Post by ftd on Dec 9, 2023 17:21:50 GMT -8
Typical game for these two...and an odd coaching decision Army up 17-3 less than 3 minutes in the 4th. Navy gets a TD and goes for two? Odd decision...they missed it and are now down 8 rather than 7 There are a ton of analytics that show that going for two down eight greatly improves your chances of victory. If you get it, you basically win with a second touchdown. If you miss, you are just a two-point conversion away from tying. Playing for overtime is generally an awful strategy, because it is several unlikely things just to set up a 50% shot at winning. Makes sense if it is 17-16 and it's go for OT or go for two and a win. |
|
|
|
Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Dec 9, 2023 18:07:22 GMT -8
There are a ton of analytics that show that going for two down eight greatly improves your chances of victory. If you get it, you basically win with a second touchdown. If you miss, you are just a two-point conversion away from tying. Playing for overtime is generally an awful strategy, because it is several unlikely things just to set up a 50% shot at winning. Makes sense if it is 17-16 and it's go for OT or go for two and a win. The odds are backwards there. The one-point down scenario is far more situationally-based. The odds of missing two two-point conversions is extremely low. |
|
Odd decision...they missed it and are now down 8 rather than 7
