Post by grayman on Nov 30, 2023 17:21:19 GMT -8
I've been thinking a lot about the future of college football when it comes to the formation of a super conference.
I'm not sure if that will take form as one big conference or will be made up of the Big Ten and SEC as separate conferences.
IMO the next (and possibly final) step will come when the some of the ACC teams make the decision to break away.
At some point there will be a vote to eliminate the GOR. The ACC has fallen far behind the Big Ten and ACC financially and stands to fall even further behind each year.
From an AP story: "The ACC distributed an average of nearly $39.5 million per school for full members for the 2021-22 season compared to $49.9 million for the Southeastern Conference and $47.9 million for the Big Ten. That gap is expected to grow to $30 million a year once the power conferences add Oklahoma and Texas (joining the SEC) and UCLA and USC (joining the Big Ten). And with the ACC mired in a TV deal with ESPN that lasts through the 2036 season, there’s no foreseeable way to close a gap that could see ACC schools fall more than $400 million behind some of their counterparts."
So the dismantling of the ACC is almost sure to happen and will happen sooner rather than later, IMO.
The way I see it playing out is that Clemson, Florida State, North Carolina and possibly Louisville, NC State, Virginia, Miami and Duke will be heading to the SEC. My guess is that Duke will be taken for its basketball prowess.
Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Boston College and Pittsburgh could be taken by the Big Ten.
Another option is that some of the teams could wind up joining or merging with the Big East and creating a basketball-forward conference.
By the time the Big 12 gets a shot there will be little to pick through. Maybe a few additions will spark interest in bringing in a few West Coast programs like Oregon State.
But my overall point is that when the ACC falls, the relevance of the power conference ceases to exist. It will be the Big Ten/SEC super conference as the top tier and most likely a second tier led by the Big 12 and maybe one or two others.
This makes what OSU and WSU are doing currently as the Pac-2 and any moves in the next year or so highly relevant. If the Pac-2 adds a few teams and then the ACC implodes, there's a very good chance of landing Stanford and Cal and maybe even SMU. This would definitely put the Pac alongside the Big 12 in the second tier.
Massive changes are going to come. OSU and WSU have to be as ready as possible.
I'm not sure if that will take form as one big conference or will be made up of the Big Ten and SEC as separate conferences.
IMO the next (and possibly final) step will come when the some of the ACC teams make the decision to break away.
At some point there will be a vote to eliminate the GOR. The ACC has fallen far behind the Big Ten and ACC financially and stands to fall even further behind each year.
From an AP story: "The ACC distributed an average of nearly $39.5 million per school for full members for the 2021-22 season compared to $49.9 million for the Southeastern Conference and $47.9 million for the Big Ten. That gap is expected to grow to $30 million a year once the power conferences add Oklahoma and Texas (joining the SEC) and UCLA and USC (joining the Big Ten). And with the ACC mired in a TV deal with ESPN that lasts through the 2036 season, there’s no foreseeable way to close a gap that could see ACC schools fall more than $400 million behind some of their counterparts."
So the dismantling of the ACC is almost sure to happen and will happen sooner rather than later, IMO.
The way I see it playing out is that Clemson, Florida State, North Carolina and possibly Louisville, NC State, Virginia, Miami and Duke will be heading to the SEC. My guess is that Duke will be taken for its basketball prowess.
Syracuse, Virginia Tech, Boston College and Pittsburgh could be taken by the Big Ten.
Another option is that some of the teams could wind up joining or merging with the Big East and creating a basketball-forward conference.
By the time the Big 12 gets a shot there will be little to pick through. Maybe a few additions will spark interest in bringing in a few West Coast programs like Oregon State.
But my overall point is that when the ACC falls, the relevance of the power conference ceases to exist. It will be the Big Ten/SEC super conference as the top tier and most likely a second tier led by the Big 12 and maybe one or two others.
This makes what OSU and WSU are doing currently as the Pac-2 and any moves in the next year or so highly relevant. If the Pac-2 adds a few teams and then the ACC implodes, there's a very good chance of landing Stanford and Cal and maybe even SMU. This would definitely put the Pac alongside the Big 12 in the second tier.
Massive changes are going to come. OSU and WSU have to be as ready as possible.
