|
|
Post by Werebeaver on Mar 13, 2023 8:59:46 GMT -8
|
|
|
|
Post by bennyskid on Mar 13, 2023 9:55:49 GMT -8
Here's what you need to know. There is a big advantage in finishing #11 compared with #12 or #13. The worst case scenario would be for us and Denver to sit in the #12 and #13 slots, as Denver is hosting a Regional. We really want to be #11 after this weekend.
Our NQS goes up if we score over 197.275.
We're 0.010 ahead of Auburn, and their low score is 197.200. Which means that if Auburn scores at least a 197.275 (and we don't), they'll pass us by about 0.005. Whatever Auburn scores, we have to beat by 0.050.
We're 0.045 ahead of Denver, and their low score is also 197.275. So they have to score at least 197.525 and beat us by .275 to pass us.
Passing Alabama or MSU is barely mathematically possible, but so unlikely that I didn't bother calculating the exact scores required. There is almost zero chance of us reaching #10.
In the past, I would have said that it's a foregone conclusion that the SEC team would get the big score and Auburn would take our #11 spot. But by all accounts the whole country has caught up to the SEC in the score-inflation game, so I'm a little more optimistic.
(I did the math in my head, so I might be off by a tenth here or there.)
|
|
