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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 1, 2023 8:10:09 GMT -8
He went 8-2 as a frosh, not bad! He definitely fell off at the end when he got tired. I'm excited to see how the off season adjustments and work own out. He averaged less than 5 innings per start. His longest start was 6.1 innings. I would like my Saturday guy to average closer to 6 innings. With the occasional 7 + game. Guys who can sustain that kind of work are either very efficient (Kmatz isnt that efficient) or can handle massive pitch counts. 5 innings of work and leaving things in a good spot for the bullpen is fine. If your going anywhere in the post season you need a confident strong bullpen. He's only had 2 appearances for 75 (4 innings) and 92 pitches (6 innings). He's getting used to using 5 pitches vs the 3 he used last year so we will probably see him get more comfortable. 9 punch outs to 1 walk ain't bad. The main thing with Kmatz is he isn't going to give up many free bases and he doesn't get shelled that often. Last year he gave up a little less than 1 hit an inning. On 73 hits he gave up 12 doubles, 3 triples and 9 homers. Not great and not bad. Kmatz won't lose many games for us but I doubt he is ever a lockdown/dominant guy we all drool over. My bet is he ends the season with 10 wins and an ERA under 3.5. If he's still around next year he might be a real menace with a season of experience using his 5 pitch arsenal. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Mar 1, 2023 9:07:05 GMT -8
Kmatz was a true freshman last season! He has the pedigree. He has experience. He will be fine. I'm more concerned with fridays, and Sundays. Now, I think Sellers will be ok, but he throws A LOT of pitches. How many hitters has he gone full count with? All of em? Would be nice to see him be more efficient. Hunter has obviously regressed a bit. I still like his stuff. Could be he just needs to hit his stride.
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Post by chinmusic on Mar 1, 2023 13:37:54 GMT -8
Hunter's success in any given start is dependent on his ability to spin and locate his secondary stuff.
He is a movement guy, not a velo guy. His strength is inducing ground balls with the sinking and tailing stuff low in the zone. Fastballs are not his bread & Butter pitch.
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 1, 2023 16:35:36 GMT -8
Kmatz was a true freshman last season! He has the pedigree. He has experience. He will be fine. I'm more concerned with fridays, and Sundays. Now, I think Sellers will be ok, but he throws A LOT of pitches. How many hitters has he gone full count with? All of em? Would be nice to see him be more efficient. Hunter has obviously regressed a bit. I still like his stuff. Could be he just needs to hit his stride. My big worry with Sellers is he throws A LOT of fastballs right now. Even if you have great location it's pretty tough to take on great batters with 85% fastballs unless your velo is absurd. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Mar 1, 2023 20:52:32 GMT -8
Kmatz was a true freshman last season! He has the pedigree. He has experience. He will be fine. I'm more concerned with fridays, and Sundays. Now, I think Sellers will be ok, but he throws A LOT of pitches. How many hitters has he gone full count with? All of em? Would be nice to see him be more efficient. Hunter has obviously regressed a bit. I still like his stuff. Could be he just needs to hit his stride. My big worry with Sellers is he throws A LOT of fastballs right now. Even if you have great location it's pretty tough to take on great batters with 85% fastballs unless your velo is absurd. Or you are Jonah Nickerson? |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 1, 2023 21:24:49 GMT -8
My big worry with Sellers is he throws A LOT of fastballs right now. Even if you have great location it's pretty tough to take on great batters with 85% fastballs unless your velo is absurd. Or you are Jonah Nickerson? I was in high school but didn't Nickerson have pretty much impeccable location and mid 90s velocity? I seem to remember a pretty effective change up too. I did t really know, literally going off nearly 20 year old memories of Parker on the radio. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Mar 1, 2023 21:30:13 GMT -8
Or you are Jonah Nickerson? I was in high school but didn't Nickerson have pretty much impeccable location and mid 90s velocity? I seem to remember a pretty effective change up too. I did t really know, literally going off nearly 20 year old memories of Parker on the radio. Impeccable location? Yes. Mid-90s velo? No. His normal fastball was in the mid- to high-80s. He had a couple of changeups, but, after he threw against Georgia, I don't remember much besides the fastball and cutter against Rice and North Carolina. |
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Post by chinmusic on Mar 1, 2023 22:52:12 GMT -8
I think it's always a juggling act for Coach Dorman.
1) He wants his pitchers battle tested - they need to pitch.
2) While at the same time limiting innings not wanting any soreness or injuries.
3) He wants the advantageous matchup - the right pitcher vs their hitter or group of hitters.
4) He wants to force the opponent to have to adjust every inning or every two innings to a new arm coming out of the pen.
5) Coach Dorman spent a long time in professional baseball - he is in tune with pro pitching coach trends and thinking. Some staffs are now built from the back-end first.
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Post by irimi on Mar 2, 2023 6:49:04 GMT -8
I think it's always a juggling act for Coach Dorman. 1) He wants his pitchers battle tested - they need to pitch. 2) While at the same time limiting innings not wanting any soreness or injuries. 3) He wants the advantageous matchup - the right pitcher vs their hitter or group of hitters. 4) He wants to force the opponent to have to adjust every inning or every two innings to a new arm coming out of the pen. 5) Coach Dorman spent a long time in professional baseball - he is in tune with pro pitching coach trends and thinking. Some staffs are now built from the back-end first. Can you explain what you mean by your last sentence? Are you saying that he’s looking at the closer, and then a pitcher for innings 7 & 8, and then a pitcher for 5 & 6, and then a starter? Or am I misinterpreting your comment? |
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Post by irimi on Mar 2, 2023 6:59:27 GMT -8
Kmatz was a true freshman last season! He has the pedigree. He has experience. He will be fine. I'm more concerned with fridays, and Sundays. Now, I think Sellers will be ok, but he throws A LOT of pitches. How many hitters has he gone full count with? All of em? Would be nice to see him be more efficient. Hunter has obviously regressed a bit. I still like his stuff. Could be he just needs to hit his stride. My big worry with Sellers is he throws A LOT of fastballs right now. Even if you have great location it's pretty tough to take on great batters with 85% fastballs unless your velo is absurd. I read (or heard) that the Beaver players said that Sellers is the hardest pitcher to hit on our staff. That’s a pretty solid endorsement. I think you have to be careful coming to any conclusions at this point of the season with just a couple of outings against lesser opponents. I think a lot of what he is throwing is scripted and controlled, just like the length of his outings. I suspect Dorman has his reasons. And since Dorman has done a great job with our pitching, I trust him. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 2, 2023 7:07:35 GMT -8
My big worry with Sellers is he throws A LOT of fastballs right now. Even if you have great location it's pretty tough to take on great batters with 85% fastballs unless your velo is absurd. I read (or heard) that the Beaver players said that Sellers is the hardest pitcher to hit on our staff. That’s a pretty solid endorsement. I think you have to be careful coming to any conclusions at this point of the season with just a couple of outings against lesser opponents. I think a lot of what he is throwing is scripted and controlled, just like the length of his outings. I suspect Dorman has his reasons. And since Dorman has done a great job with our pitching, I trust him. Oh for sure. It's just the thing I've seen so far that was a worry for later. He was obviously capable of just blasting right through Coppins lineup without stretching his secondary pitches. |
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Mar 2, 2023 7:09:31 GMT -8
I think it's always a juggling act for Coach Dorman. 1) He wants his pitchers battle tested - they need to pitch. 2) While at the same time limiting innings not wanting any soreness or injuries. 3) He wants the advantageous matchup - the right pitcher vs their hitter or group of hitters. 4) He wants to force the opponent to have to adjust every inning or every two innings to a new arm coming out of the pen. 5) Coach Dorman spent a long time in professional baseball - he is in tune with pro pitching coach trends and thinking. Some staffs are now built from the back-end first. Can you explain what you mean by your last sentence? Are you saying that he’s looking at the closer, and then a pitcher for innings 7 & 8, and then a pitcher for 5 & 6, and then a starter? Or am I misinterpreting your comment? Yes. For some teams who finishes the last 4-5 innings of a game is more important than who pitches the first 3-4. Hence the "opener" concept. |
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Post by flyfishinbeav on Mar 2, 2023 9:34:27 GMT -8
My big worry with Sellers is he throws A LOT of fastballs right now. Even if you have great location it's pretty tough to take on great batters with 85% fastballs unless your velo is absurd. I read (or heard) that the Beaver players said that Sellers is the hardest pitcher to hit on our staff. That’s a pretty solid endorsement. I think you have to be careful coming to any conclusions at this point of the season with just a couple of outings against lesser opponents. I think a lot of what he is throwing is scripted and controlled, just like the length of his outings. I suspect Dorman has his reasons. And since Dorman has done a great job with our pitching, I trust him. This makes sense to me. Theres a reason why he's getting the Friday nod. It will be interesting to see if he becomes more efficient as the season goes on.....or maybe he continues the heavy pitch count per hitter. One would think if he tightens up his location a bit more he may get hitters to bite, and cut down on his pitch count. |
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Post by nuclearbeaver on Mar 2, 2023 9:52:05 GMT -8
I read (or heard) that the Beaver players said that Sellers is the hardest pitcher to hit on our staff. That’s a pretty solid endorsement. I think you have to be careful coming to any conclusions at this point of the season with just a couple of outings against lesser opponents. I think a lot of what he is throwing is scripted and controlled, just like the length of his outings. I suspect Dorman has his reasons. And since Dorman has done a great job with our pitching, I trust him. This makes sense to me. Theres a reason why he's getting the Friday nod. It will be interesting to see if he becomes more efficient as the season goes on.....or maybe he continues the heavy pitch count per hitter. One would think if he tightens up his location a bit more he may get hitters to bite, and cut down on his pitch count. Yeah he has some work to do there. First two games he's at 23 pitches per inning. Kmatz is getting there at 16.7 but he was at 15.5 last year. Hunter is at 13.1 vs 15.6 last year. Good/great is around 15. For reference 2022 Hjerpe was 16.5, 2021 Abel was 17.5, 2019 Eisert was 15.6. you can be a very good Friday night guy without being super efficient. Of top returners of 2022 have Lattery 16.0 Ferrer 14.2 Brown 15.6 |
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Post by vhalum92 on Mar 3, 2023 20:59:18 GMT -8
Nichersons best pitch was his cutter.
I dont here many announcers recognizing a cutter these days…
Think Mariano Rivera.
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