Post by chinmusic on Jul 6, 2022 14:23:20 GMT -8
Gavin Turley's various rankings with the baseball recruiting experts might be demonstrative of where he might fall in the MLB Draft later this month. His rankings would signal a 2nd or 3rd round selection with a remote possibility of a late 1st round pick or sliding all the way to the 5th round.
There are many "knowns" about Turley. The measurement of his baseball tools is not in question, but his high K factor and hitting tool are in question - can he hit professional pitching for average? Scouts have concerns but do those concerns outweigh the tremendous speed, arm, and power that have been displayed throughout his prep and travel ball career? Are the scout's concerns easily correctable? A big unknown is how Scouting Director's and Management have assessed the financial risk and possibly wasting an early round pick if the hit concerns persist. Languishing in the minor leagues 4 or 5 years while learning to hit isn't what the MLB teams have in mind with their first 6 or 7 draft picks
A big unknown is Turley's price tag - is it the popular $1mil figure many top prospects have placed on themselves ? more? less? For some clubs, that is about 8% of their entire bonus pool. Turley has leverage, an OSU scholly and career awaits him and his value in the 2025 draft could increase exponentially.
My gut feeling is that Turley will sign if the offer is right and that of course depends on a team placing high value on his future. With Turley, I suspect draft position and slot money are irrelevant. If a team is really sold on him and his future, they will pay what it takes to sign him. He is the kind of talent that fits that scenario.
Some of Turley's current rankings in the 2022 Class:
Baseball America #36
Rawlings-Perfect Game #16
Baseball Factory-Under Armour #51
Prep Baseball Report #47
The Baseball Vault #27
There are many "knowns" about Turley. The measurement of his baseball tools is not in question, but his high K factor and hitting tool are in question - can he hit professional pitching for average? Scouts have concerns but do those concerns outweigh the tremendous speed, arm, and power that have been displayed throughout his prep and travel ball career? Are the scout's concerns easily correctable? A big unknown is how Scouting Director's and Management have assessed the financial risk and possibly wasting an early round pick if the hit concerns persist. Languishing in the minor leagues 4 or 5 years while learning to hit isn't what the MLB teams have in mind with their first 6 or 7 draft picks
A big unknown is Turley's price tag - is it the popular $1mil figure many top prospects have placed on themselves ? more? less? For some clubs, that is about 8% of their entire bonus pool. Turley has leverage, an OSU scholly and career awaits him and his value in the 2025 draft could increase exponentially.
My gut feeling is that Turley will sign if the offer is right and that of course depends on a team placing high value on his future. With Turley, I suspect draft position and slot money are irrelevant. If a team is really sold on him and his future, they will pay what it takes to sign him. He is the kind of talent that fits that scenario.
Some of Turley's current rankings in the 2022 Class:
Baseball America #36
Rawlings-Perfect Game #16
Baseball Factory-Under Armour #51
Prep Baseball Report #47
The Baseball Vault #27