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Post by messi on May 11, 2022 11:12:37 GMT -8
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Post by messi on May 11, 2022 11:17:44 GMT -8
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Post by rainmanrich on May 11, 2022 12:33:39 GMT -8
The seeding follows the current RPI fairly well but is wacked from the rankings. The number 2 ranked team should not be facing oposite the number 8th ranked team in the Supers. The number 2 team should face opposite of a 15th or thereabouts ranked team. However, if you go about it looking at RPI, it's roughly in line. Not complaining because to be the best you have to beat the best, or as Pat Casey has said "We didn't come here to play JV ball". Just making an observation here.
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 11, 2022 13:55:16 GMT -8
The only way that Baseball America gets there is by just royally screwing the Pac-12. Oregon State should be paired with the Stanford winner. The Pac-12 deserves at least two host spots. Personally, I think that we would have more to fear from a say, San Diego out of Sunken Diamond. Grand Canyon is better than any of the other teams coming out of that Stanford Regional. On paper, we match up very well with Stanford. Also, the last time Oregon State played Stanford in a Corvallis Super Regional was 2006. 4-3 and 15-0 Oregon State wins en route to a National Championship. |
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Post by vhalum92 on May 11, 2022 14:22:31 GMT -8
I understand pairing us with the #15, but not if they are from the Pac.
My bigger issue is why do these predictions always have GCU in our Regional?
Lastly, Wake Forrest has an RPI of #22. Why wouldn't they put RPI of #31 in our bracket? That is currently Oklahoma btw.
It just seems like you would go in more of a high seed low seed fashion. Being #2 should get you better matchups in your regional than that.
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Post by mbabeav on May 11, 2022 14:33:23 GMT -8
I understand pairing us with the #15, but not if they are from the Pac. My bigger issue is why do these predictions always have GCU in our Regional? Lastly, Wake Forrest has an RPI of #22. Why wouldn't they put RPI of #31 in our bracket? That is currently Oklahoma btw. It just seems like you would go in more of a high seed low seed fashion. Being #2 should get you better matchups in your regional than that. RPI isn't everything - you can have a high RPI by playing a lot of teams with high RPI's, but without much success. |
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Post by rgeorge on May 11, 2022 14:36:47 GMT -8
I understand pairing us with the #15, but not if they are from the Pac. My bigger issue is why do these predictions always have GCU in our Regional? Lastly, Wake Forrest has an RPI of #22. Why wouldn't they put RPI of #31 in our bracket? That is currently Oklahoma btw. It just seems like you would go in more of a high seed low seed fashion. Being #2 should get you better matchups in your regional than that. RPI isn't everything - you can have a high RPI by playing a lot of teams with high RPI's, but without much success. Yes. Griping about proposed brackets based on just RPI is a bit overboard. There's actually more involved than just current RPI. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 11, 2022 14:50:05 GMT -8
Also, Texas Tech as a two seed? Egads! Nobody wants any part of that! The knock on Texas Tech is that they do not have a third pitcher, but they have Andrew Morris and Brandon Birdsell for a 1-2 punch on the mound. Both have pro arms. They are 10-2 in the Big 12 and 18-3 overall, when one of the two starts. Texas Tech is 1-5 in the Big 12 on Sundays in the Big 12 and 4-7 overall on Sundays. 10-6 midweek. Grand Canyon beat Tech twice at Grand Canyon midweek, but they did not have to hit against Morris or Birdsell. A real Morris and Birdsell and pray for rain team. Oregon State would have to get past one or the other and then probably would have to play the other one on Monday on two days' rest, if it came to that. Yuck! No! Grand Canyon just happy to be in Corvallis as a two-seed is 100% better than Texas Tech as a two with a huge chip on their shoulder. And San Diego as a three! Your best hope there is that San Diego had to throw Brycen Mautz against Texas Tech and edged the Raiders in 26 innings. Yuck! None of that is good. The only way that Baseball America's Corvallis Regional is better is that Oregon State gets Long Island, instead of North Dakota State. Throw Kmatz against Long Island and hope to see a winded San Diego on day two. There is some chatter about whether Maryland can actually even host a Regional. They may be a travelling one seed. In that projection, that means that Vanderbilt hosts. But honestly, Stanford should host over Vanderbilt. But I doubt that Maryland travels to Sunken Diamond for a Regional host spot. East Carolina and Vanderbilt are scarier than San Diego and Santa Barbara in D1 bracket. Maryland is better than Stanford. Other than choice of four-seeds in the Corvallis Regional, I fail to see how the Baseball America projection is better than the D1 bracket in any way. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 11, 2022 15:04:50 GMT -8
I understand pairing us with the #15, but not if they are from the Pac. My bigger issue is why do these predictions always have GCU in our Regional? Lastly, Wake Forrest has an RPI of #22. Why wouldn't they put RPI of #31 in our bracket? That is currently Oklahoma btw. It just seems like you would go in more of a high seed low seed fashion. Being #2 should get you better matchups in your regional than that. In that projection, they send Oklahoma to South Bend, and Wake Forest to Corvallis. You cannot switch them. Plus, they put Wake Forest in as a three-seed. If they went pure S-curve RPI, that would be #31 Oklahoma and #35 East Carolina. The Pirates are a very dangerous three. Grand Canyon is great two for Oregon State. A Gonzaga or a Texas or Texas Tech would worry me. But there are a lot worse twos than Grand Canyon. Wake Forest kind of reminds me of 2007 Oregon State. The Deacons have been awful in the ACC with a losing record, currently in eighth place out of 14 teams. But they have been great out of conference, 22-2 with only two road losses, the third-best RPI in non-conference in the country. (Oregon State is second in non-conference RPI but with a worse non-conference record.) It is true that you would rather see Oklahoma, but the Sooners have been better in conference than Wake. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 11, 2022 15:11:29 GMT -8
North Carolina? A three seed? They are 10-14 in conference play! Thats 11th of 14 in the ACC...at that rate the Trojans should be in too! D1 has North Carolina in as the last team in. Baseball America has North Carolina as the third team out. The Heels have played the 10th-hardest schedule in the country and are 15th in non-conference RPI, 18-4 in non-conference. North Carolina probably needs to go at least 5-3 down the stretch and then have a good ACC Tournament to stay in the hunt. After Oregon State in 2007, though, I am never too hard about teams with a 10-14 conference record getting an invite. |
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Post by beavs6 on May 11, 2022 16:32:04 GMT -8
I like the D1 breakdown. Just change the Stanford Regional with the Hattiesburg regional. (Swap #14 and #15)
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Post by giantkillers83 on May 11, 2022 19:28:40 GMT -8
As long as we host I don’t care…. Gotta play someone…
i like our chances.
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