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Post by baseba1111 on Feb 12, 2020 15:28:15 GMT -8
AR was drafted by the Seattle Mariners in the 40th round out of high school in 2016. I assume he could have signed for 100K. He chose to go to OSU and with the guidance of the Beaver coaching staff he parlayed that 100k into 8.1 million. His decision to attend OSU made him $8,000,000.00. The economics with M. Abel is quite different. Adley, I think, would have been drafted a lot higher out of high school had he not made it clear that he was going to OSU. I think the Mariner's pick was more of a "do well and we will be looking for you". Not their fault Adley was so much better, and they weren't so bad, come draft time 3 years later. AR was never getting/considered drafted that much higher to make any difference if he was going to college. He was actually a late bloomer so to speak and became "the man" while at OSU. Most big timers are Freshman Varsity players and develop early and plateau. At Sherwood I'm fairly certain he wasn't a regular Varsity player until his Soph year and did fairly well vs pretty weak competition compared to other states. He began to really shine his Sr year after full recovery from an Ulnar Collateral Ligament injury to his throwing arm his Jr year. Scouts knew he had potential, but catchers and throwing arm ligament damage don't always go well together. And, thank goodness it happened just as it did.
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Post by Judge Smails on Feb 12, 2020 16:18:47 GMT -8
Yep - understood , would just be great to see another Beaver success story . Not the money driver , but a kid that could GO, but opts to go the college route and gets EVEN better , and more prepared for the next level ! In a true sense it wouldn't a "Beaver success story" as he might not match his current draft position coming out after his Jr year unless he had a stellar career. And, even then it would depend on the careers of others and the HS pitchers that are ready. Adley developed into a 1/1, this kid is a 1st rounder unless something scares teams off by June... injury, greed, etc. The one thing going in favor of OSU landing him is the lack of success of many HS pitching draftees and the "meat market" that the draft is for young arms vs the college experience/program he can be part of here in Corvallis. Either way, OSU will be used as leverage. Unfortunately some parents overplay that card. MLB will always have plenty of arms to draw on, and there is no guarantee on any specific draft position being the one that makes the Club. So, unless they go to a JC, kids are (3) years removed from making $$. They are at the mercy of the baseball "gods" and program when it comes to development and injury. And, in (3) years who knows what other pitchers are draft eligible and how you might now fit in. Plus, you and your family are going into "debt" for three years of schooling and all that goes with it for a MAYBE return on the investment. Other than being a fan of the college program, anyone else would say take the first round money and see what happens. A kid can always go back to school for an education. And, in the long run high level ball is high level ball, so why not get millions why you can?! Exactly. If it was my kid and he was a top 10 draft pick, I'd tell them to sign even being a die hard Beaver fan.
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Post by mbabeav on Feb 13, 2020 14:01:34 GMT -8
In a true sense it wouldn't a "Beaver success story" as he might not match his current draft position coming out after his Jr year unless he had a stellar career. And, even then it would depend on the careers of others and the HS pitchers that are ready. Adley developed into a 1/1, this kid is a 1st rounder unless something scares teams off by June... injury, greed, etc. The one thing going in favor of OSU landing him is the lack of success of many HS pitching draftees and the "meat market" that the draft is for young arms vs the college experience/program he can be part of here in Corvallis. Either way, OSU will be used as leverage. Unfortunately some parents overplay that card. MLB will always have plenty of arms to draw on, and there is no guarantee on any specific draft position being the one that makes the Club. So, unless they go to a JC, kids are (3) years removed from making $$. They are at the mercy of the baseball "gods" and program when it comes to development and injury. And, in (3) years who knows what other pitchers are draft eligible and how you might now fit in. Plus, you and your family are going into "debt" for three years of schooling and all that goes with it for a MAYBE return on the investment. Other than being a fan of the college program, anyone else would say take the first round money and see what happens. A kid can always go back to school for an education. And, in the long run high level ball is high level ball, so why not get millions why you can?! Exactly. If it was my kid and he was a top 10 draft pick, I'd tell them to sign even being a die hard Beaver fan. There are only 10 top 10 drafts picks in any one year.....leaves a lot of guys still able to put their gloves on and warm up with a metal bat.
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