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Post by eugenedave on Feb 20, 2018 3:39:29 GMT -8
Warren Nolan's predicted RPI has Oregon State #7 at the end of the regular season. But what really caught my eye was their record. 56-0. Yes, undefeated.
His predictions last year were very accurate, as far as the Beavs regular season.
We have so many weapons this year. But how in Earth can we go without any games you wish you could replay?
So guys and gals, what do you think? Vote your prediction for the number of losses.
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Post by skyrider on Feb 20, 2018 5:40:45 GMT -8
7
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Post by jdogge on Feb 20, 2018 6:07:26 GMT -8
6
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tej
Freshman
Posts: 51
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Post by tej on Feb 20, 2018 6:39:33 GMT -8
There are LOTS of weapons but not the best pitching in the country, which we had last year. 10+ losses.
PAC-12 champs, with ucla and stanford close behind.
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Post by ricke71 on Feb 20, 2018 6:57:18 GMT -8
There are LOTS of weapons but not the best pitching in the country, which we had last year. 10+ losses. PAC-12 champs, with ucla and stanford close behind. At this early juncture I am not yet ready to come down on the topic of overall quality of PITCHING. Indeed a few of the vets have not been extra sharp...on the other hand at least one Freshmen has provided excitement. And a lot of arms either haven’t been used yet or barely used. I vote “9”. |
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Post by ochobeavo on Feb 20, 2018 7:21:48 GMT -8
I'm going with 10+ (thinking 10-12 range) until I feel good that we have a 1B to go with Luke as our 1A. Thompson gave us 14-1, 1.96 ERA 119K in 128 IP last year, .189 BAA. Plus it feels like we have some stronger opposing arms in the conference this year.
Not sure who that 2nd hammer is... I know it's not Fehmel, doubt it's ever Tweedt. Maybe by 2nd half of year it's Abel?
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Post by 56chevy on Feb 20, 2018 7:51:15 GMT -8
13, and that is few enough to make them a national seed. While I'll enjoy the regular season no matter what, it is the last game of the year they play that I hope they win.
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Feb 20, 2018 8:12:05 GMT -8
We finished 5-1 in 2016, went 56-6 last year and are 4-0 this season. That's a 65-7 record in our last 72 games, which is absolutely amazing.
I would say discounting Bryce on the basis of one average (still winning) performance against Cal Poly - a quality program, despite not being a marquee name nationally - might be premature.
Thompson had done absolutely nothing in his previous four years to indicate a 14-1 season was in the offing. OTOH, Bryce has proven over the course of two full seasons he can be a very good pitcher.
Just my opinion. Others may disagree.
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Post by ochobeavo on Feb 20, 2018 8:39:10 GMT -8
We finished 5-1 in 2016, went 56-6 last year and are 4-0 this season. That's a 65-7 record in our last 72 games, which is absolutely amazing. I would say discounting Bryce on the basis of one average (still winning) performance against Cal Poly - a quality program, despite not being a marquee name nationally - might be premature. Thompson had done absolutely nothing in his previous four years to indicate a 14-1 season was in the offing. OTOH, Bryce has proven over the course of two full seasons he can be a very good pitcher. Just my opinion. Others may disagree. Me personally, since I mentioned Bryce - I'm basing it on the entire body of work, the type of pitcher he is and (in my opinion of course) that he's just a lot more limited than our other horses from recent years. Quality guy - yes, has the ability to put together a gem like he did vs Vandy, but I just don't see him as a rock solid top of the rotation guy with filthy stuff. Would be thrilled to be proven wrong! Fair points re: Jake. The difference I felt with Jake is that he always showed glimpses of that nasty, live stuff and just needed to harness it, physically and mentally. Could see someone like Gambrell in that mold... |
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Post by BeaverG20 on Feb 20, 2018 10:58:07 GMT -8
10-15.
Pitching won't be as good,and overall won't be as lucky in a few games like last season. This team still has all the tools to make a deep run, though.
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Post by beaverintheberg on Feb 20, 2018 11:12:19 GMT -8
14 losses. Not nearly as many series sweeps this year. Starting pitching not dominant enough.
But, still a very good squad that should make the playoffs comfortably.
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Post by rilesinnewberg on Feb 20, 2018 11:55:11 GMT -8
I'm going with 10+ (thinking 10-12 range) until I feel good that we have a 1B to go with Luke as our 1A. Thompson gave us 14-1, 1.96 ERA 119K in 128 IP last year, .189 BAA. Plus it feels like we have some stronger opposing arms in the conference this year. Not sure who that 2nd hammer is... I know it's not Fehmel, doubt it's ever Tweedt. Maybe by 2nd half of year it's Abel? Chamberlain maybe? He looked pretty good Friday. |
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Post by mallardhunter on Feb 20, 2018 12:18:29 GMT -8
I hope not undefeated. I think that as much can be learned from a defeat as from a victory, especially in baseball in terms of the timely hit, or not taking the last out for granted.
Plus, when the GS Warriors chased the regular season win record, they lost the finals (certainly Lebron had something to do with that but a couple extra games of rest for the stars couldn't have hurt). I would much rather the Beavs hoist the trophy in Omaha than have the footnote of the perfect regular season.
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Post by avidbeaver on Feb 20, 2018 12:30:14 GMT -8
I will say 12 or 13. It is way too hard to repeat the success of last year. Like another poster said, the Beavers were fortunate to win some games last year. Pitching kept them in the games until the bats showed some life. I do think the pitching will sort itself out but won't achieve the heights it did last year. Partly because the Beavers have a target on their back. The teams in conference will be looking to get some payback.
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Post by mbabeav on Feb 20, 2018 14:45:07 GMT -8
I think 10 (or less) is possible. SOS out of conference is low, and the pitching will be dialed in by conference. Combine that with better offense and defense, no losses in Omaha  and we are again in a season for the ages. |
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and we are again in a season for the ages.