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Post by Werebeaver on Jun 8, 2022 7:05:12 GMT -8
Super-Regional matchups Seeds 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 14 have advanced. 6, 7, 13, 15, 16, eliminated. www.ncaa.com/brackets/baseball/d1/2022 |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Jun 8, 2022 16:26:53 GMT -8
Kmatz really worries me against power-hitting SEC teams. Need a lot more junk than what he has in his toolbox; teams have hit pretty hard against him all year, and he's leaned heavily on good defense and good run support. He saved our ass during the regular season with Pfennigs and Frisch out, but I wonder if re-thinking our rotation this weekend might be worthwhile. Hunter really impressed yesterday, with that killer changeup. I like him against aggressive SEC bats. Probably can't count on it fooling batters more than 1-2 times through the order, but I like Hunter in a game 3. I kinda like the idea of Kmatz coming in relief of Hunter around the 4th inning, to further mess with their timing after they've adjusted. My off-the-cuff pitching rotation for the weekend, barring a huge collapse that causes an early pull, would be something like this: Sat: Hjerpe/Ferrer/Brown Sun: Pfennigs/Sebby/then situational depending on whether we're 1-0 or 0-1 after first game, and whether this game is winnable (ie, if we're facing elimination, then nobody is off-limits) Mon: Hunter/Kmatz/Ferrer/Brown Biggest chink in Kmatz's 'armor' is the long ball. With 9 HR given up, more than 2x the number of HR allowed than any other Beaver pitcher (i.;e. the 'gold standard' Hjerpe has given up 3 HR). I suspect (hope) he'll 'cure' that as a Sophomore...but the time is NOW. Most of Kmatz' HRs have been outside of Goss. That said, his GO/AO is .70. The biggest chink in Kmatz' armor is that he is very much a flyball pitcher. Those balls usually stay in in Goss, but you worry about Omaha. Also, you point out numbers. In his first five starts at Goss, Kmatz gave up one home run. Kmatz has given up one home run in each of his last three starts. As temperatures have increased, those balls have been travelling further and further. Three of the four home runs at Goss were the first pitch in the count. Anthony Hall's home run was the third pitch, on a 2-0 count. You cannot always throw a first pitch strike, and you cannot afford to fall behind. Two of the last three home runs were allowed to Anthony Hall and Spencer Jones, who are two of the most explosive hitters that Kmatz has face. Auburn's Sonny DiChiara is probably a better hitter than either, though. Hopefully, Kmatz handles DiChiara. |
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Post by Judge Smails on Jun 8, 2022 16:31:46 GMT -8
What? A helluva lot harder to hit it out in Omaha then Goss. Unless you’re still thinking about Rosenblatt.
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