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Post by beavaristotle on May 15, 2022 16:00:29 GMT -8
Put this weekend behind them. Get the boys some in and out, an air conditioned bus and head for sky harbor
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Post by irimi on May 15, 2022 17:35:36 GMT -8
Currently we are in first in the Pac...by the skin of our buck teeth Series we have lost: Stanford currently in second in the Pac Arizona currently in fourth in the Pac Next up ...UCLA currently third in the Pac We can end up in 4th in the Pac...Or first... UCLA series is 'super' important At least we didn't get swept by UW like our upcoming opponent did. Nor did we lose 2 to UW like Stanford did. Baseball is a funny sport because none of that means anything. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 15, 2022 17:38:32 GMT -8
Years that Oregon State lost a road series in Arizona and only one other conference series: 2006 and 2018.
Years that Oregon State played in the Tournament after finishing the regular season against UCLA: 2006, 2007 and 2018.
Years that Oregon State finished the regular season with a loss to UCLA since 2004: 2006, 2007 and 2018.
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Post by beaverdreams on May 15, 2022 17:49:56 GMT -8
Ok, so this may be more dramatic than I thought possible after the hot streak we were on, but far as I see it, seems like just about only a sweep of UCLA secures us a conference title if I'm not mistaken? Cause Stanford has last place SC at home; you have to assume they sweep the Trojans there. If we even give up one game to UCLA, then we are tied with Stanford, and they own the tiebreaker, having beat us in our series earlier in the season. With an amazing a season as it's been, I can't believe we're up against it as we are last week in season. Course all that aside, I guess what really matters is we have secured a top 8 national seed.
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Post by 56chevy on May 15, 2022 18:09:07 GMT -8
Four weeks ago, if someone would have told us we would be a game up as we head into the final series at home against UCLA and a solid #2 RPI we all would have taken that. All we can do at this point is turn out at Goss starting Thursday and turn up the energy.
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Post by beavermd on May 15, 2022 19:24:36 GMT -8
Ok, so this may be more dramatic than I thought possible after the hot streak we were on, but far as I see it, seems like just about only a sweep of UCLA secures us a conference title if I'm not mistaken? Cause Stanford has last place SC at home; you have to assume they sweep the Trojans there. If we even give up one game to UCLA, then we are tied with Stanford, and they own the tiebreaker, having beat us in our series earlier in the season. With an amazing a season as it's been, I can't believe we're up against it as we are last week in season. Course all that aside, I guess what really matters is we have secured a top 8 national seed. If we tied with Stanford we would be co-champs. They would get the 1 seed in the meaningless conference tournament. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 15, 2022 20:27:03 GMT -8
Ok, so this may be more dramatic than I thought possible after the hot streak we were on, but far as I see it, seems like just about only a sweep of UCLA secures us a conference title if I'm not mistaken? Cause Stanford has last place SC at home; you have to assume they sweep the Trojans there. If we even give up one game to UCLA, then we are tied with Stanford, and they own the tiebreaker, having beat us in our series earlier in the season. With an amazing a season as it's been, I can't believe we're up against it as we are last week in season. Course all that aside, I guess what really matters is we have secured a top 8 national seed. RPI is only a jumping off point. The Beavers pretty much guarantee themselves a Regional host spot with a series win against the Bruins, but a top eight seed is still very much up in the air. Nothing is locked up, and it is dangerous to subscribe to that way of thinking. If Stanford finishes as the one-seed, that makes how Oregon State does at the Pac-12 Tournament important. You better hope that the Beavers do better than the Cardinal at the Pac-12 Tournament. And, whatever happens, Oregon State cannot afford to be swept by UCLA. Then, the Pac-12 Tournament becomes even more important. |
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Post by irimi on May 15, 2022 20:38:27 GMT -8
Let’s do this like the pros do basketball. None of the season matters. Just get to the postseason.
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Post by nuclearbeaver on May 15, 2022 20:42:00 GMT -8
Ok, so this may be more dramatic than I thought possible after the hot streak we were on, but far as I see it, seems like just about only a sweep of UCLA secures us a conference title if I'm not mistaken? Cause Stanford has last place SC at home; you have to assume they sweep the Trojans there. If we even give up one game to UCLA, then we are tied with Stanford, and they own the tiebreaker, having beat us in our series earlier in the season. With an amazing a season as it's been, I can't believe we're up against it as we are last week in season. Course all that aside, I guess what really matters is we have secured a top 8 national seed. RPI is only a jumping off point. The Beavers pretty much guarantee themselves a Regional host spot with a series win against the Bruins, but a top eight seed is still very much up in the air. Nothing is locked up, and it is dangerous to subscribe to that way of thinking. If Stanford finishes as the one-seed, that makes how Oregon State does at the Pac-12 Tournament important. You better hope that the Beavers do better than the Cardinal at the Pac-12 Tournament. And, whatever happens, Oregon State cannot afford to be swept by UCLA. Then, the Pac-12 Tournament becomes even more important. I get that RPI isn’t everything but there is also only 5 teams in the top 60 RPI with over 40 wins. There probably won’t be 8 teams over 40 wins in the top 25 RPI at the end of the season. The only way we don’t get a National seed is if losing streak is the most important factor or something. |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 15, 2022 21:12:09 GMT -8
RPI is only a jumping off point. The Beavers pretty much guarantee themselves a Regional host spot with a series win against the Bruins, but a top eight seed is still very much up in the air. Nothing is locked up, and it is dangerous to subscribe to that way of thinking. If Stanford finishes as the one-seed, that makes how Oregon State does at the Pac-12 Tournament important. You better hope that the Beavers do better than the Cardinal at the Pac-12 Tournament. And, whatever happens, Oregon State cannot afford to be swept by UCLA. Then, the Pac-12 Tournament becomes even more important. I get that RPI isn’t everything but there is also only 5 teams in the top 60 RPI with over 40 wins. There probably won’t be 8 teams over 40 wins in the top 25 RPI at the end of the season. The only way we don’t get a National seed is if losing streak is the most important factor or something. How you finish is a huge factor. Boyd being hurt is a huge factor. Oregon State looking like trash twice away from Corvallis in the final three weekends is a huge factor. If Boyd is not healthy by the end of the Pac-12 Tournament, the Committee gets to think about whether Oregon State without Boyd is really a top eight seed or not. You want there to be the fewest questions possible that you are a top eight seed on Memorial Day. Plus, I will add that Boyd's World Needs Report does not guess at what other teams do. It basically assumes that all other teams stand pat on RPI. Generally speaking, teams with high RPIs spike at the end of the season. You do not want to be the team with an RPI going the other direction, while everyone else's RPIs are spiking. |
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Post by ricke71 on May 16, 2022 7:59:31 GMT -8
Four weeks ago, if someone would have told us we would be a game up as we head into the final series at home against UCLA and a solid #2 RPI we all would have taken that. All we can do at this point is turn out at Goss starting Thursday and turn up the energy. Agreed. For much of the season the PAC-12 race has been about 5 teams: OSU, Stanford, UCLA, UO and UA. There were many weeks during the season when OSU was not in the drivers seat. They are now (with Boyd status as a potential deciding factor). Of the 5 teams that have been in the PAC race, there are now 3 'also rans' (or almost). Those three - UCLA, UO and UA have combined for 13-17 over their last 10 games each. Stanford and OSU are 17-3 over their last 10 games each. The cream has risen to the top. Random: Max Rajcic pitched Friday 5/13 for UCLA and dominated WSU (8 innings, 1 hit, 14 SO)....The week before UW got to him, in the opening game of UCLA being swept by the Huskies. In 3 games in Tucson, Beaver pitching staff gave up 7 Home Runs, 15 BB and 5 HBP. |
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Post by messi on May 16, 2022 8:03:10 GMT -8
What needs to be done to secure a top 8 seed going forward?
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Post by beavs6 on May 16, 2022 9:39:57 GMT -8
What needs to be done to secure a top 8 seed going forward? Of course, no one knows for sure. Long answer: Win the UCLA series, I would assume we are a Top #8 Lose the UCLA series but win 2+ in the PAC12 Tourney, I assume we are a Top #8. Lose the series...or worse get swept by UCLA AND win 1 or fewer games in the PAC12 Tourney, I would assume a TOP #8 Seed would be in jeopardy. It would be hard to tumble from what is a consensus #2 to out of the Top #8 in 2+ weeks unless the wheels fall off. Unfortunately a few of those wheels are shaking after last weekend.(losing a series...thank goodness not swept. Lost a key everyday starter.--for how long, time will tell) Short answer: WIN GAMES! |
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Post by beaverbeliever71 on May 16, 2022 10:18:33 GMT -8
What needs to be done to secure a top 8 seed going forward? As of today OSU is a pretty solid #2 overall seed.. would need complete collapse the next 2 weeks to fall out of top 8 IMO |
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on May 16, 2022 19:35:32 GMT -8
What needs to be done to secure a top 8 seed going forward? I would hazard to guess that Oregon State probably clinches a top 8 seed by going at least 2-1 and then finishing no worse than fourth in the Pac-12 Tournament. Short of there, it would help if Stanford lost its series this weekend or goes 2 & BBQ at the Pac-12 Tournament. Short of short of there, Oregon State's case gets better, if Boyd comes back healthy and tears it up |
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