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Post by Werebeaver on Apr 1, 2020 12:58:05 GMT -8
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Post by kersting13 on Apr 1, 2020 18:37:44 GMT -8
94,000 deaths in a country of 330 million. That means you have a 99.97% chance of NOT dying from COVID-19. I like those odds. Of course, this assumes about 8 more weeks of social distancing. |
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Post by Werebeaver on May 4, 2020 16:52:08 GMT -8
Hmm. Big adjustment in projected mortality numbers in the last couple days. From appx 60,000 to now 134,000. That's not moving in the right direction, folks. covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-americaGiven how volatile these projections have been lately, I'm taking them with the proverbial glass of Lysol. |
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Post by kersting13 on May 4, 2020 16:58:02 GMT -8
Hmm. Big adjustment in projected mortality numbers in the last couple days. From appx 60,000 to now 134,000. That's not moving in the right direction, folks. covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-americaGiven how volatile these projections have been lately, I'm taking them with the proverbial glass of Lysol. If you read their methodology section, you’ll see that they changed a whole bunch in their modeling. The most obvious to me was changing to more of a rolling average on deaths instead of the daily figures they had been using. Since this is a new model, it’s possible they could be being a bit more conservative (erring on the side of caution) in their figures. Regardless, Oregon’s numbers still look good! |
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Post by Werebeaver on May 4, 2020 17:00:38 GMT -8
Hmm. Big adjustment in projected mortality numbers in the last couple days. From appx 60,000 to now 134,000. That's not moving in the right direction, folks. covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-americaGiven how volatile these projections have been lately, I'm taking them with the proverbial glass of Lysol. If you read their methodology section, you’ll see that they changed a whole bunch in their modeling. The most obvious to me was changing to more of a rolling average on deaths instead of the daily figures they had been using. Since this is a new model, it’s possible they could be being a bit more conservative (erring on the side of caution) in their figures. Regardless, Oregon’s numbers still look good! To paraphrase the late great Beavermoble "Nobody told me there would be math.."  |
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Post by sagebrush on May 4, 2020 18:29:02 GMT -8
I hope I get one of bi-Kate's 100,000 letters asking for volunteers for testing, etc. To be mailed May 11 so I will probably get it 13 or 14. Will jump at it. I like my odds. I am in the vulnerable age group.
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Post by Werebeaver on Jun 16, 2020 11:53:38 GMT -8
Latest projections >200,000 deaths.
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Jun 16, 2020 14:01:13 GMT -8
I hope I get one of bi-Kate's 100,000 letters asking for volunteers for testing, etc. To be mailed May 11 so I will probably get it 13 or 14. Will jump at it. I like my odds. I am in the vulnerable age group. Make fun of the governor all you want but the bottom line (death count) shows the Oregon state government she leads has done an excellent job of responding to this pandemic, especially considering that 3/4 of our state's population is congested into a very small part of our state's geographic footprint. |
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Post by TheGlove on Jun 16, 2020 15:06:09 GMT -8
I hope I get one of bi-Kate's 100,000 letters asking for volunteers for testing, etc. To be mailed May 11 so I will probably get it 13 or 14. Will jump at it. I like my odds. I am in the vulnerable age group. Make fun of the governor all you want but the bottom line (death count) shows the Oregon state government she leads has done an excellent job of responding to this pandemic, especially considering that 3/4 of our state's population is congested into a very small part of our state's geographic footprint. How is he making fun of the governor? |
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Post by Tigardbeav on Jun 16, 2020 16:57:30 GMT -8
Make fun of the governor all you want but the bottom line (death count) shows the Oregon state government she leads has done an excellent job of responding to this pandemic, especially considering that 3/4 of our state's population is congested into a very small part of our state's geographic footprint.By completely decimating the local economy in rural areas, especially?
Yeah, totally great handling. Those ingrates! Aren't most of the counties on Phase 2 (wasn't there a porn shop on 9th street called Phase III or something?) Multnomah county isn't even at Phase I is it? Seems like a logical, science based set of standards to reopen slowly and carefully. Meet the standard & reopen a bit more. IIRC Bend opened bars last week. I don't know about restaraunts. |
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Post by Henry Skrimshander on Jun 16, 2020 17:05:33 GMT -8
Make fun of the governor all you want but the bottom line (death count) shows the Oregon state government she leads has done an excellent job of responding to this pandemic, especially considering that 3/4 of our state's population is congested into a very small part of our state's geographic footprint. How is he making fun of the governor? I'm sure he meant to compliment her by calling her "bi-Kate," right? Seems like a logical, science based set of standards to reopen slowly and carefully. Meet the standard & reopen a bit more.Don't mention science. It confuses some people. |
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Post by Werebeaver on Jun 16, 2020 17:16:40 GMT -8
How is he making fun of the governor? I'm sure he meant to compliment her by calling her "bi-Kate," right? Seems like a logical, science based set of standards to reopen slowly and carefully. Meet the standard & reopen a bit more.Don't mention science. It confuses some people. Trump today announced that scientists had invented an AIDS vaccine so hopefully a COVID vaccine should follow very quickly. |
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Post by irimi on Jun 16, 2020 18:54:13 GMT -8
Aren't most of the counties on Phase 2 (wasn't there a porn shop on 9th street called Phase III or something?) Multnomah county isn't even at Phase I is it? Seems like a logical, science based set of standards to reopen slowly and carefully. Meet the standard & reopen a bit more. IIRC Bend opened bars last week. I don't know about restaraunts. Eastern Oregon should have never been locked-down in any way, manner, or fashion, to begin with. Period. Because Union county didn’t just come down with 119 cases in a single day? Pole vaulting ahead of Marion county. That’s quite a feat. |
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Post by Tigardbeav on Jun 16, 2020 19:53:15 GMT -8
Eastern Oregon should have never been locked-down in any way, manner, or fashion, to begin with. Period. Because Union county didn’t just come down with 119 cases in a single day? Pole vaulting ahead of Marion county. That’s quite a feat. Wasn't one of those counties lobbying to join Idaho? Maybe those virus people should be counted on Idaho |
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Post by TheGlove on Jun 16, 2020 20:15:47 GMT -8
How is he making fun of the governor? I'm sure he meant to compliment her by calling her "bi-Kate," right? Seems like a logical, science based set of standards to reopen slowly and carefully. Meet the standard & reopen a bit more.Don't mention science. It confuses some people. Missed that. Is she bisexual? Had no idea. sagebrush WTF man? |
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