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Post by seastape on Feb 7, 2019 1:14:32 GMT -8
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Post by atownbeaver on Feb 7, 2019 8:43:14 GMT -8
Finish no worse than 6-3, and make the finals of the Pac-12 tourney. I think that gives us at least a play in bid. The Texas A&M and Kent St. losses loom large right now.
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Post by sagebrush on Feb 7, 2019 11:00:50 GMT -8
Pac gets two in. UW/tourney champ and one of the Arizonas.
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Post by ag87 on Feb 7, 2019 12:19:08 GMT -8
I agree Sage. If we win the tournament we are in obviously. But right now, the Arizonas and even Oregon are ahead of us. If we go 8-1 in the second half and make the finals of the Pac-12 tournament we have a chance. I like our team but going 8-1 in the second half is a very tall order . . . . maybe 5% chance.
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Feb 7, 2019 13:00:44 GMT -8
Pac gets two in. UW/tourney champ and one of the Arizonas. The Arizonas were much more impressive in non-conference play. Oregon State needs to be at least two conference games up on Arizona and at least one conference game up on Arizona State to stand a chance at being selected in front of the pair. Absent that, the Beavers would have to have a more impressive Pac-12 Tournament run. Those games against the Arizonas in three weeks are going to go a long way toward deciding whether an at large bid is a possibility or not. Thankfully, they are in Corvallis.
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Post by beaverstever on Feb 7, 2019 17:22:43 GMT -8
Team Rankings has us as: Go 6-3 in 2nd half: 3% chance of getting in Go 7-2: 22% Go 8-1: 68% go 9-0: 95% That seems about right to me as well. Only lose 2 in the 2nd half, and we might get some charity. Only lose 1 (and it be at UW on the road), and we look like we belong. Win out, and we make a very nice case as a team that is very hot and playing well. I don't think their win numbers factor in conf. tournament games. Other than winning it, the conference tournaments don't seem like they have much of an impact . www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/oregon-st-beavers/bracketology
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Post by wilkyisdashiznit on Feb 7, 2019 20:46:52 GMT -8
Team Rankings has us as: Go 6-3 in 2nd half: 3% chance of getting in Go 7-2: 22% Go 8-1: 68% go 9-0: 95% That seems about right to me as well. Only lose 2 in the 2nd half, and we might get some charity. Only lose 1 (and it be at UW on the road), and we look like we belong. Win out, and we make a very nice case as a team that is very hot and playing well. I don't think their win numbers factor in conf. tournament games. Other than winning it, the conference tournaments don't seem like they have much of an impact . www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/oregon-st-beavers/bracketologyThe percentages you are citing are for wins. 8 wins means that Oregon State is more likely to make the Tournament than not. 9 wins is close to a lock. That is why the site is showing you percentages for 10-12 wins. 7 wins is on the bubble but probably not in the Tournament. 6 wins is a 3% proposition.
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Post by mauibeav on Feb 8, 2019 14:29:17 GMT -8
After that loss last night...unless they win the Pac-12 tourney....no dancing this year. NIT now in jeopardy
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Post by blastingsand on Feb 8, 2019 15:33:23 GMT -8
I don't think NIT is in big jeopardy, but the loss last night might have been what does us in not making NCAAs. BAD BAD game to have an off day.
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Post by seastape on Feb 8, 2019 20:46:23 GMT -8
After that loss last night...unless they win the Pac-12 tourney....no dancing this year. NIT now in jeopardy I will not "like" your post, but I agree with it entirely.
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